Peer-Reviewed Publications

The following list contains my formal publications. I have authored or co-authored 108 peer-reviewed journal articles and two book chapters covering diverse topics such as drought monitoring, ensemble data assimilation, validation of numerical model simulation output using satellite observations, synthetic satellite dataset generation, and subtropical cyclogenesis.

Please click here for a list of publications sorted by subject matter.

 

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2024

 

Anderson, M. C., W. P. Kustas, J. M. Norman; G. T. Diak, C. R. Hain, F. Gao, Y. Yang, K. R. Knipper, J. Xue, Y. Yang, W. T. Crow, T. R. H. Holmes, H. Nieto, R. Guzinski, J. A. Otkin, J. R. Mecikalski, C. Cammalleri, A. T. Torres-Ruan, X. Zhan, L. Fang, P. D. Colaizzi, and N. Agam, 2024: A brief history of the thermal IR-based Two-Source Energy Balance (TSEB) model – diagnosing water and energy fluxes from plant to global scales. Agr. Forest Meteorol., 350, 109951, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109951. View

Woloszyn, M., S. Reeves, M. Skumanich, E. Hasenbeck, A. Lang, J. Lisonbee, R.D. Leeper, M. Muth, E. Ossowski, J. Otkin, H. Wang, 2024. 2nd National Flash Drought Workshop Report: Building on Progress and Looking Forward. NOAA National Integrated Drought Information System. View

Christian, J., M. Hobbins, A. Hoell, J. A. Otkin, T. Ford, A. Cravens, K. Powlen, H. Wang, and V. Mishra, 2023: Flash drought: A state of the science review. WIREs Water, e1714. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1714 View

In press:

Griffin, S. M., and J. A. Otkin, 2024: Validating HRRR simulated cloud properties for different weather phenomena using satellite and radar observations. Wea. Forecasting, in press.

Corak, N. K., J. A. Otkin, T. W. Ford, and L. E. Lowman, 2024: Unraveling phenological responses to extreme drought and implications on the water and carbon budgets. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.

Conditionally accepted:

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, B. F. Zaitchik, C. Hain, T. Holmes, and M. C. Anderson, 2024: Improving subseasonal soil moisture and evaporative stress index forecasts through machine learning: The role of initial land state versus dynamical model output. Conditionally accepted for publication in J. Hydrometeor.

Submitted:

Otkin, J. A., Y. Zhong, T. W. Ford, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, A. Hoell, M. Svoboda, and H. Wang, 2024: Multivariate evaluation of flash drought across the United States. Submitted to Water Resources Research.

In Preparation:

 

2023

 

Ford, T. W., J. A. Otkin, S. M. Quiring, J. Lisonbee, M. Woloszyn, J. Wang, and Y. Zhong, 2023: Flash drought indicator intercomparison in the United States. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.,  62, 1713–1730,  https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0081.1. View

Pierce, R. B, M. Harkey, A. Lenzen, L. Cronce, J. A. Otkin, J. L. Case, D. S. Henderson, Z. Adelman, T. Nergui, and C. Hain, 2023: High-resolution air quality simulations of ozone exceedance events during the Lake Michigan Ozone Study. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 9613-9635, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-9613-2023. View

Otkin, J. A., L. Cronce, J. Case, R. Pierce, M. Harkey, A. Lenzen, D. Henderson, Z. Adelman, T. Nergui, and C. R. Hain, 2023: Evaluation of high-resolution model simulations in the Lake Michigan region. Atmos. Chem. Phys, 23, 7935–7954, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7935-2023. View

Nguyen, H., M. C. Wheeler, J. A. Otkin, T. Nguyen-Huy, and T. Cowan, 2023: Climatology and history of flash drought over Australia. J. Hydrometeor., 24, 1087-1101. View

Christian, J. I., E. R. Martin, J. B. Basara, J. C. Furtado, J. A. Otkin, L. E. Lowman, E. D. Hunt, V. Mishra, and X. Xiao, 2023: Global projections of flash drought in a warming climate. Commun. Earth Environ., 4, 165. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00826-1. View

Yuan, X., Y. Wang, P. Ji, J. Sheffield, and J. A. Otkin, 2023: A global transition to flash droughts under climate change. Science, 380, 187-191. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn6301. View

Edris, S., J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, E. D. Hunt, J. A. Otkin, S. T. Salesky, and B. G. Illston, 2023: Decomposing the critical components of flash drought using the standardized evaporative stress ratio. Agr. Forest Meteorol., 330, 109288, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109288. View

 

2022

 

Otkin, J. A., M. Woloszyn, H. Wang, M. Svoboda, M. Skumanich, R. Pulwarty, J. Lisonbee, A. Hoell, M. Hobbins, T. Haigh, and A. Cravens, 2022: Getting ahead of flash drought: From early warning to early action. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc, 103, E2188-E2202. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0288.1. View

Ahmad, S. K., S. V. Kumar, T. M. Lahmers, S. Wang, P.-W. Liu, M. L. Wrzesien, R. Bindlish, A. Getirana, K. A. Locke, T. R. Holmes, and J. A. Otkin, 2022: Flash drought onset and development mechanisms captured with soil moisture and vegetation data assimilation. Water Resour. Res., 58, e2022WR032894. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR032894. View

Lisonbee, J., J. Ribbe, J. A. Otkin, and C. Pudmensky 2022: Wet season rainfall onset and flash drought: The case of the northern Australian wet season. Int. J. Climatol, 42, 6499– 6514. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7609. View

Henderson, D. S., J. A. Otkin, and J. R. Mecikalski, 2022: Examining the role of the land surface on convection using high-resolution model forecasts over the southeastern United States. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 127, e2022JD036563. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036563. View

Haigh, T., J. A. Otkin, M. Woloszyn, D. Todey, and C. Felkley, 2022: Meeting the climate information needs of Midwest perennial specialty crop production. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 61, 839-855. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0105.1. View

Hoover, B. T., J. A. Otkin, E. M. Petrescu, and E. Niebuhr, 2022: A high-resolution quantitative precipitation estimate over Alaska through kriging-based merging of rain gauges and short-range regional precipitation forecasts. J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 39, 739-753. View

Zhang, M. X. Yuan, J. A. Otkin, and P. Ji, 2022: Climate warming outweighs vegetation greening in intensifying flash droughts over China. Environ. Res. Lett., 17, 054041, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac69fb. View

Li, X., J. R. Mecikalski, J. A. Otkin, D. Henderson, and J. Srikishen, 2022: A polarimetric radar operator and application for convective storm simulation. Atmosphere, 13, 645, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13050645. View

Khan, A. M., P. C. Stoy, J. Joiner, D. Baldocchi, J. Verfaillie, M. Chen, and J. A. Otkin, 2022: The diurnal dynamics of gross primary productivity (GPP) using observations from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites-R Series (GOES-R) at an oak savanna ecosystem. J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci., 127, e2021JG006701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JG006701 View

Osman, M., B. Zaitchik, H. Badr, J. A. Otkin, Y. Zhong, D. Lorenz, M. C. Anderson, T. F. Keenan, D. L. Miller, C. Hain, and T. Holmes, 2022: Diagnostic classification of flash drought events reveals distinct classes of forcings and impacts. J. Hydrometeor., 23, 275-289. View

Chandramouli, K., X. Wang, A. Johnson, and J. A. Otkin, 2022: Online nonlinear bias correction in ensemble Kalman filter to assimilate GOES-R all-sky radiances for the analysis and prediction of rapidly developing supercells. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 14, e2021MS002711. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002711. View

Griffin, S. M., and J. A. Otkin, 2022: Evaluating the impact of planetary boundary layer, land surface model, and microphysics parameterization schemes on simulated GOES-16 water vapor brightness temperatures. Atmosphere, 13, 366, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030366. View

Li, J., A. J. Geer, K. Okamoto, J. A. Otkin, Z. Liu, W. Han, and P. Wang, 2022: Satellite all-sky infrared radiance assimilation: Recent progress and future perspectives. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 39, 9−21, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1088-9. View

 

2021

 

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, B. Zaitchik, M. C. Anderson, and C. R. Hain, 2021: Predicting rapid changes in evaporative stress index (ESI) and soil moisture anomalies over the continental United States. J. Hydrometeor., 22, 3017-3036. View

Christian, J. I., J. B. Basara, E. D. Hunt, J. A. Otkin, J. C. Furtado, V. Mishra, X. Xiao, and R. M. Randall, 2021: Global distribution, trends, and drivers of flash drought occurrence. Nat. Commun., 12, 6330, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26692-z. View

Hoell, A., T. W. Ford, M. Woloszyn, J. A. Otkin, and J. Eischeid, 2021: Characteristics and predictability of Midwestern United States drought. J. Hydrometeor, 22, 3087-3105. View

Hunt, E. D., F. Femia, C. Werrell, J. Christian, J. Basara, J. A. Otkin, R. Randall, T. White, C. Hain, M. C. Anderson, and K. McGauhgey, 2021: Agricultural and food security impacts from the 2010 Russia flash drought. Weather Clim. Extremes, 34, 100383, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100383. View

Woloszyn, M., M. Skumanich, J. Lisonbee, V. Deheza, M. Hobbins, A. Hoell, J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, and H. Wang, 2021: Flash drought: Current understanding and future priorities. Report of the 2020 NIDIS Flash Drought Virtual Workshop, NOAA National Integrated Drought Information System. View

Griffin, S. M., J. A. Otkin, S. E. Nebuda, T. L. Jensen, P. Skinner, E. Gilleland, T. A. Supinie, and M. Xue, 2021: Evaluating the impact of planetary boundary layer, land surface model, and microphysics parameterization schemes on upper-level cloud objects in simulated GOES-16 brightness temperatures. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos, 126, e2021JD034709. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034709. View

Khan, A., P. C. Stoy, J. T. Douglas, M. C. Anderson, G. Diak, J. A. Otkin, E. M. Rehbein, and J. McCorkel, 2021: Reviews and syntheses: Ongoing and emerging opportunities to improve environmental science using geostationary satellite observations. Biogeosciences, 18, 4117-4141, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4117-2021. View

Otkin, J. A., Y. Zhong, E. D. Hunt, J. I. Christian, J. B. Basara, H. Nguyen, M. C. Wheeler, T. W. Ford, A. Hoell, M. Svoboda, and M. C. Anderson, 2021: Development of a flash drought intensity index. Atmosphere12, 741, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos12060741. View

Yang, Y., M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, Y. Yang, L. Sun, W. Dulaney, C. Hain, J. A. Otkin, J. Prueger, T. Meyers, and C. Bernacchi, 2021: Remote sensing of a field-scale ET-based stress indicator for crop yield forecasting: An application across the U.S. Corn Belt. Rem. Sens. Env., 257, 112337. View

Thompson, G., J. Berner, M. Frediani, J. A. Otkin, and S. M. Griffin, 2021: A stochastic parameter perturbation method to represent uncertainty in a microphysics scheme. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 1481-1497. View

Nguyen, H., M. C. Wheeler, H. H. Hendon, E.-P. Lim, and J. A. Otkin, 2021: The 2019 flash droughts in subtropical eastern Australia and their association with large-scale climate drivers. Weather Clim. Extremes, 32, 100321, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100321. View

Henderson, D. S., J. A. Otkin, and J. R. Mecikalski, 2021: Evaluating convective initiation in high-resolution numerical weather prediction models using GOES-16 infrared brightness temperatures. Mon. Wea. Rev, 149, 1153-1172. View

Osman, M., B. F. Zaitchik, H. S. Badr, J. Christian, T. Tadesse, J. A. Otkin, and M. C. Anderson, 2021: Flash droughts over the contiguous United States: Sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 565–581. View

Otkin, J. A., and R. E. Potthast, 2021: Nonlinear conditional bias estimation for data assimilation. SIAM J. Applied Dynamical Systems, 299-332. View

 

2020

 

Hunt, E. D., J. I. Christian, J. B. Basara, L. Lowman, J. A. Otkin, J. Bell, K. Jarecke, R. A. Wakefield, and R. M. Randall, 2020: The flash drought of 1936. J. Appl. Serv. Climatol., http://www.doi.org/10.46275/JOASC.2020.11.001. View

Zhang, M., X. Yuan, and J. A. Otkin, 2020: Remote sensing of the impact of flash drought events on terrestrial carbon dynamics over China. Carbon Balance Manage., 15, 20, https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-020-00156-1. View

Nguyen, H., J. A. Otkin, M. C. Wheeler, P. Hope, B. Trewin, and C. Pudmenzky, 2020: Climatology and variability of the Evaporative Stress Index and its suitability as a tool to monitor Australian drought. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2309-2324. View

Christian, J. I., J. B. Basara, E. D. Hunt, J. A. Otkin, and X. Xiao, 2020: Flash drought development and cascading impacts associated with the 2010 Russian heatwave. Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 094078. View

Griffin, S. M., J. A. Otkin, G. Thompson, M. Frediani, and J. Berner, 2020: Assessing the impact of stochastic cloud microphysics using GOES-16 infrared brightness temperatures. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 3111-3137. View

Lewis, W., T. J. Wagner, J. A. Otkin, and T. A. Jones, 2020: Impact of AERI temperature and moisture retrievals on the simulation of a central plains severe convective weather event. Atmosphere, 11, 729, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos1107079. View

Zhong, Y., J. A. Otkin, M. C. Anderson, and C. R. Hain, 2020: Investigating the relationship between the Evaporative Stress Index and land surface conditions in the contiguous United States. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1469-1484. View

Liu, Y., Y. Zhu, L. Ren, J. A. Otkin, E. D. Hunt, X. Yang, R. Yuan, and S. Jian, 2020: Two different methods for flash drought identification: Comparison of their strengths and limitations. J. Hydrometeor., 24, 691-704. View

Otkin, J. A., 2020: Nonlinear bias correction for numerical weather prediction models. PhD Thesis, Department of Mathematics, University of Reading, UK. 154pp.

 

2019

 

Otkin, J. A., and R. Potthast, 2019: Assimilation of all-sky SEVIRI infrared brightness temperatures with nonlinear bias corrections in a regional-scale ensemble data assimilation system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 4481-4509. View

Christian, J. I., J. B. Basara, J. A. Otkin, and E. D. Hunt, 2019: Regional characteristics of flash droughts across the United States. Environ. Res. Commun., 1, 125004. View

Haigh, T. R., J. A. Otkin, and A. Mucia, M. Hayes, M. Burbach, 2019: Drought early warning and the timing of range manager's drought response. Adv. Meteorol., DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/9461513. View

Basara, J. B., J. I. Christian, R. A. Wakefield, J. A. Otkin, E. Hunt, and D. Brown, 2019: The evolution, propagation, and spread of flash drought in the central United States during 2012. Environ. Res. Lett., 14, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab2cc0. View

Nguyen, H., M. C. Wheeler, J. A. Otkin, A. Frost, R. Stone, and T. Cowan, 2019: Using the evaporative stress index to monitor flash drought in Australia. Environ. Res. Lett., 14, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab2103. View

Christian, J. I., J. B. Basara, J. A. Otkin, E. D. Hunt, R. A. Wakefield, P. X. Flanagan, and X. Xiao, 2019: A methodology for flash drought identification in gridded datasets: Application of flash drought frequency across the United States. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 833-846. View

Li, Z., J. Li, T. J. Schmit, P. Wang, A. Lim, J. Li, F. Nagle, W. Bai, J. A. Otkin, R. Atlas, R. Hoffman, S. Boukabara, W. Blackwell, and T. Pagano, 2019: The alternative of CubeSat based advanced infrared and microwave sounders for high impact weather forecasting. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2019.1568816. View

Otkin, J. A., Y. Zhong, E. D. Hunt, J. Basara, M. Svoboda, M. C. Anderson, and C. Hain, 2019: Assessing the evolution of soil moisture and vegetation conditions during a flash drought - flash recovery sequence over the south-central United States. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 549-562. View

 

2018

 

Kurzrock, F., S. Cros, F. Chane-Ming, J. A. Otkin, L. Linguet, A. Hutt, G. Lajoie, and R. Potthast, 2018: The assimilation of geostationary meteorological satellite observations in regional NWP for cloudiness forecasting. Meteorol. Zeitschrift, 27, 277-298. View

Otkin, J. A., Y. Zhong, D. Lorenz, M. C. Anderson, and C. Hain, 2018: Exploring seasonal and regional relationships between the Evaporative Stress Index and surface weather and soil moisture anomalies across the United States. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5373–5386. View

Otkin, J. A., T. Haigh, A. Mucia, M. C. Anderson, and C. R. Hain, 2018: Comparison of agricultural stakeholder survey results and drought monitoring datasets during the 2016 U.S. Northern Plains flash drought. Wea. Climate Soc., 10, 867-883. View

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. R. Hain, and Y. Zhong, 2018: Forecasting rapid drought intensification using the Climate Forecast System (CFS). J. Geophys. Res., 123, 8365–8373. View

Otkin, J. A., M. Svoboda, E. D. Hunt, T. W. Ford, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and J. B. Basara, 2018: Flash droughts: A review and assessment of the challenges imposed by rapid onset droughts in the United States. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 99, 911-919. View

Otkin, J. A., R. Potthast, and A. Lawless, 2018: Nonlinear bias correction for satellite data assimilation using Taylor series polynomials. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 263-285. View

Yang, Y., M. C. Anderson, G. Gao, B. Wardlow, C. R. Hain, J. A. Otkin, J. Alfieri, Y. Yang, L. Sun, and W. Dulaney, 2018: Field-scale mapping of evaporative stress indicators of crop yield: An application over Mead, NE, USA. Remote Sens. Environ., 210, 387-402. View

 

2017

 

Wardlow, B. D., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, W. Crow, J. A. Otkin, T. Tadesse, and A. AghaKouchak, 2017: Advancements in Satellite Remote Sensing for Drought Monitoring. Book chapter in Drought and Water Crises: Integrating Science, Management, and Policy, CRC Press, 542 pp.

Griffin, S. M., J. A. Otkin, C. M. Rozoff, J. M. Sieglaff, L. M. Cronce, C. R. Alexander, T. L. Jensen, and J. K. Wolff, 2017: Seasonal analysis of cloud objects in the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model using object-based verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 56, 2317-2334. View

Sieron, S. B., E. E. Clothiaux, F. Zhang, Y. Lu, and J. A. Otkin, 2017: Comparison of using distribution-specific versus effective-radius methods for hydrometeor single-scattering properties for all-sky microwave satellite radiance simulations with different microphysics parameterization schemes. J. Geophys. Res., 122, 7027-7046. View

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. Hain, M. C. Anderson, and Y. Zhong, 2017a: Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor states using precipitation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration anomalies. Part I: Development of a non-discrete USDM index. J. Hydrometeor., 18, 1943-1962. View

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. Hain, M. C. Anderson, and Y. Zhong, 2017b: Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor states using precipitation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration anomalies. Part 2: Intraseasonal drought intensification forecasts. J. Hydrometeor., 18, 1963-1982. View

Yang, Y., M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, C. Hain, W. P. Kustas, T. Meyers, W. T. Crow, R. G. Finocchiaro, J. A. Otkin, L. Sun, and Y. Yang, 2017: Impact of tile drainage on evapotranspiration (ET) in South Dakota, USA based on high spatiotemporal resolution ET timeseries from a multi-satellite data fusion system. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Obs. Remote Sens., 10, 2550-2564. View

Flanagan, P. X., J. B. Basara, B. G. Illston, and J. A. Otkin, 2017: The effect of the dryline and convective initiation on drought evolution over Oklahoma during the 2011 drought. Adv. Meteorol., 2017, 8430743, doi:10.1155/2017/8430743. View

Otkin, J. A., W. E. Lewis, A. Lenzen, B. McNoldy, and S. Majumdar, 2017: Assessing the accuracy of the cloud and water vapor fields in the Hurricane WRF (HWRF) model using satellite infrared brightness temperatures. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 2027-2046. View

Griffin, S. M., J. A. Otkin, C. M. Rozoff, J. M. Sieglaff, L. M. Cronce, and C. R. Alexander, 2017: Methods for comparing simulated and observed satellite infrared brightness temperatures and what do they tell us? Wea. Forecasting, 32, 5-25. View

Zhou, Y., X. Xiao, G. Zhang, P. Wagle, R. Bajgain, J. Dong, C. Jin, J. Basara, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and J. A. Otkin, 2017: Quantifying agricultural drought in tall grass prairie region in the U.S. Southern Great Plains through analysis of a water-related vegetation index from MODIS images. Agr. Forest Meteorol., 246, 111-122. View

 

2016

 

Boukabara, S. A., T. Zhu, H. L. Tolman, S. Lord, S. Goodman, R. Atlas, M. Goldberg, T. Auligne, R. B. Pierce, L. Cururull, M. Zupanski, M. Zhang, I. Moradi, J. A. Otkin, D. Santek, B. Hoover, Z. Pu, X. Zhan, C. Hain, E. Kalnay, D. Hotta, S. Nolin, E. Bayler, A. Mehra, S. Casey, D. Lindsey, L. Grasso, K. Kumar, A. Powell, J. Xu, T. Greenwald, J. Zajic, J. Li, J. Li, B. Li, J. Liu, L. Fang, P. Wang, and T.-C. Chen, 2016: S4: An O2R/R2O infrastructure for optimizing satellite data utilization in NOAA numerical modeling systems, a significant step toward bridging the valley of death. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 2379-2394. View

Anderson, M. C., C. R. Hain, F. Jurecka, M. Trnka, P. Hlavinka, W. Dulaney, J. A. Otkin, D. Johnson, and F. Gao, 2016: An energy balance approach for mapping crop water stress and yield impacts over the Czech Republic. Clim. Res., 70, 215-230. View

Cintineo, R., J. A. Otkin, T. Jones, S. Koch, and D. J. Stensrud, 2016: Assimilation of synthetic GOES-R ABI infrared brightness temperatures and WSR-88D radar observations in a high-resolution OSSE. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3159-3180. View

Thompson, G., M. Tewari, K. Ikeda, S. Tessendorf, C. Weeks, J. A. Otkin, and F. Kong, 2016: Explicitly-coupled cloud physics and radiation parameterizations and subsequent evaluation in WRF high-resolution convective forecasts. Atmos. Res., 168, 92-104. View

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, M. Svoboda, D. Johnson, R. Mueller, T. Tadesse, B. Wardlow, and J. Brown, 2016: Assessing the evolution of soil moisture and vegetation conditions during the 2012 United States flash drought. Agr. Forest Meteorol., 218–219, 230–242. View

Anderson, M. C., C. Zolin, P. Sentelhas, C. R. Hain, K. Semmens, M. T. Yilmaz, F. Gao, J. A. Otkin, and R. Tetrault, 2016: Assessing correlations of satellite-derived evapotranspiration, precipitation, and leaf area index anomalies with yields of major Brazilian crops. Remote Sens. Environ., 174, 82-99. View

Greenwald, T. J., R. B. Pierce, T. Schaack, J. A. Otkin, M. Rogal, K. Bah, and H.-L. Huang, 2016: Near real-time production of simulated GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager data for user readiness and product validation. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 245-261. View

 

2015

 

Otkin, J. A., M. Shafer, M. Svoboda, B. Wardlow, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and J. Basara, 2015: Facilitating the use of drought early warning information through interactions with agricultural stakeholders. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 96, 1073-1078. View

Saide, P. E., S. N. Spak, R. B. Pierce, J. A. Otkin, T. K. Schaack, A. K. Heidinger, A. M. da Silva, M. Kacenelenbogen, J. Redemann ,and G. R. Carmichael, 2015: Role of Central American biomass burning smoke in increasing tornado severity in the U.S. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 956–965, doi:10.1002/2014GL062826. View

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and M. Svoboda, 2015: Using temporal changes in drought indices to generate probabilistic drought intensification forecasts. J. Hydrometeor., 16, 88-105. View

 

2014

 

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and M. Svoboda, 2014: Examining the relationship between drought development and rapid changes in the Evaporative Stress Index. J. Hydrometeor., 15, 938-956. View

Lee, Y.-K., J. A. Otkin, and T. J. Greenwald, 2014: Evaluating model simulated cloud characteristics through comparisons with satellite observations. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 53, 1046-1058. View

Lim, A. H. N., J. A. Jung, H.-L. Huang, S. A. Ackerman, and J. A. Otkin, 2014: Assimilation of AIRS radiances in short term regional forecasts using community models. J. Appl. Remote Sen., 8, 083655, http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.8.083655. View

Jones, T. A., J. A. Otkin, D. J. Stensrud, and K. Knopfmeier, 2014: Forecast evaluation of an Observing System Simulation Experiment assimilating both radar and satellite data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 107-124. View

Cintineo, R., J. A. Otkin, F. Kong, and M. Xue, 2014: Evaluating the accuracy of planetary boundary layer and cloud microphysical parameterization schemes in a convection-permitting ensemble using synthetic GOES-13 satellite observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 163-182. View

Bormann, N., A. Hernandez-Carrascal, R. Borde, H.-J. Lutz, J. A. Otkin, and S. Wanzong, 2014: Atmospheric motion vectors from model simulations. Part I: Methods and characterization as single-level estimates of wind. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 53, 47-64. View

 

2013

 

Jones, T. A., J. A. Otkin, D. J. Stensrud, and K. Knopfmeier, 2013: Assimilation of simulated GOES-R satellite radiances and WSR-88D Doppler radar reflectivity and velocity using an Observing System Simulation Experiment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3273-3299. View

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, I. Mladenova, J. Basara, and M. Svoboda, 2013: Examining rapid onset drought development using the thermal infrared based Evaporative Stress Index. J. Hydrometeor., 14, 1057-1074. View

Anderson, M. C., C. Hain, J. A. Otkin, X. Zhan, K. Mo, M. Svoboda, W. Dulaney, and A. Pimstein, 2013: An intercomparison of drought indicators based on thermal remote sensing and NLDAS-2 simulations with U.S. Drought Monitor classifications. J. Hydrometeor., 14, 1035-1056. View

Anderson, M.C., W. P. Kustas, C. R. Hain, C. Cammalleri, F. Gao, M. T. Yilmaz, I. E. Mladenova, J.A. Otkin, M. A. Schull, and R. Houborg, 2013: Mapping Surface Fluxes and Moisture Conditions from Field to Global Scales using ALEXI/DisALEXI. Book chapter in Remote Sensing of Land Surface Turbulent Fluxes and Soil Surface Moisture Content, Taylor and Francis, 562 pp.

 

2012

 

Otkin, J. A., 2012: Assimilation of water vapor sensitive infrared brightness temperature observations during a high impact weather event. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D19203, doi:10.1029/2012JD017568. View

Bikos, D., D. T. Lindsey, J. A. Otkin, J. Sieglaff, L. Grasso, C. Siewart, J. Correia, M. Coniglio, R. Rabin, J. Kain, and S. Dembek, 2012: Synthetic satellite imagery for real-time high resolution model evaluation. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 784-795. View

Lakshmanan, V., R. Rabin, J. A. Otkin, J. S. Kain, and S. Dembek, 2012: Visualizing model data using a fast approximation of a radiative transfer model. J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 29, 745-754. View

Otkin, J. A., 2012: Assessing the impact of the covariance localization radius when assimilating infrared brightness temperature observations using an ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 543-561. View

 

2011

 

Hartung, D. C., J. A., Otkin, D. D. Turner, R. Peterson, and W. F. Feltz, 2011: Assimilation of surface-based boundary layer profiler observations during a cool season weather event using an Observation System Simulation Experiment. Part 2: Forecast assessment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2327-2346. View

Otkin, J. A., Hartung, D. C., D. D. Turner, R. Peterson, W. F. Feltz, and Erik Janzon, 2011: Assimilation of surface-based boundary layer profiler observations during a cool season weather event using an Observation System Simulation Experiment. Part 1: Analysis impact. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2309-2326. View

Li, J., J. Li, J. A. Otkin, T. J. Schmit, and C.-Y. Liu, 2011: Warning information in a Preconvection Environment from the Geostationary Advanced Infrared Sounding System -- A simulation using the IHOP case. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 50, 776-783. View

 

2010

 

Greenwald, T. J., Y.-K. Lee, J. A. Otkin, and T. L'Ecuyer, 2010: Evaluation of midlatitude clouds in a large-scale high-resolution simulation using CloudSat observations. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D19203, doi:10.1029/2009JD013552. View

Otkin, J. A., 2010: Clear and cloudy-sky infrared brightness temperature assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter. J. Geophys Res., 115, D1920, doi:10.1029/2009JD013759. View

Hartung, D. C., J. A. Otkin, J. E. Martin, and D. D. Turner, 2010: The life cycle of an undular bore and its interaction with a shallow, intense cold front. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 886-908. View

Bedka, K. M., J. Brunner, R. Dworak, W. Feltz, J. A. Otkin, and T. J. Greenwald, 2010: Objective overshooting top detection using infrared window channel brightness temperature gradients. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 49, 181-202. View

 

2009

 

Otkin, J. A., T. J. Greenwald, J. Sieglaff, and H.-L. Huang, 2009: Validation of a large-scale simulated brightness temperature dataset using SEVIRI satellite observations. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 1613-1626. View

Feltz, W. F., K. M. Bedka, J. A. Otkin, T. Greenwald, and S. A. Ackerman, 2009: Understanding satellite-observed mountain wave signatures using high-resolution numerical model data. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 76-86. View

 

2008

 

Otkin, J. A., and T. J. Greenwald, 2008: Comparison of WRF model-simulated and MODIS-derived cloud data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1957-1970.View

 

2007

 

Anderson, M. C., J. R. Norman, J. R. Mecikalski, J. A. Otkin, and W. P. Kustas, 2007: A climatological study of fluxes and moisture stress across the continental U. S. based on thermal remote sensing. 2: Surface Moisture Climatology. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11112, doi:10.1029/2006JD007507. View

Anderson, M. C., J. R. Norman, J. R. Mecikalski, J. A. Otkin, and W. P. Kustas, 2007: A climatological study of fluxes and moisture stress across the continental U. S. based on thermal remote sensing. 1: Model formulation. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10117, doi:10.1029/2006JD007506. View

Otkin, J. A., D. J. Posselt, E. R. Olson, H.-L. Huang, J. E. Davies, J. Li, and C. S. Velden, 2007: Mesoscale numerical weather prediction models used in support of infrared hyperspectral measurements simulation and product algorithm development. J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 24, 585-601. View

 

2005

 

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, J. R. Mecikalski, and G. R. Diak, 2005: Validation of GOES-based insolation estimates using data from the United States Climate Reference Network. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 460-475. View

 

2004



Otkin, J. A., and J. E. Martin, 2004: The large-scale modulation of subtropical cyclogenesis in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1813-1828. View

Otkin, J. A., and J. E. Martin, 2004: A synoptic climatology of the subtropical Kona storm. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1502-1517. View

Martin, J. E., and J. A. Otkin, 2004: The rapid growth and decay of an extratropical cyclone in the central Pacific Ocean. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 358-376. View

 

2003


Otkin, J. A., 2003: Composite and case study analyses of the structure and evolution of the subtropical Kona storm and its associated large-scale environment. MS Thesis, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin - Madison, 134pp.

 

2002



Hansen, A. R., G. D. Nastrom, J. A. Otkin, and F. D. Eaton, 2002: MST radar observations of gravity waves and turbulence near thunderstorms. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 298-305. View



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