Peer-Reviewed Publications

The following list contains my formal publications. I have authored or co-authored 50 peer-reviewed publications covering diverse topics such as drought monitoring, ensemble data assimilation, validation of numerical model simulation output using satellite observations, synthetic satellite dataset generation, and subtropical cyclogenesis.

Please click here for a list of publications sorted by subject matter.

 

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2017

Published:

Wardlow, B. D., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, W. Crow, J. A. Otkin, T. Tadesse, and A. AghaKouchak, 2017: Advancements in Satellite Remote Sensing for Drought Monitoring. Book chapter in Drought and Water Crises: Integrating Science, Management, and Policy, CRC Press, 542 pp.

Griffin, S. M., J. A. Otkin, C. M. Rozoff, J. M. Sieglaff, L. M. Cronce, C. R. Alexander, T. L. Jensen, and J. K. Wolff, 2017: Seasonal analysis of cloud objects in the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model using object-based verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 56, 2317-2334. View

Sieron, S. B., E. E. Clothiaux, F. Zhang, Y. Lu, and J. A. Otkin, 2017: Comparison of using distribution-specific versus effective-radius methods for hydrometeor single-scattering properties for all-sky microwave satellite radiance simulations with different microphysics parameterization schemes. J. Geophys. Res., 122, 7027-7046. View

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. Hain, M. C. Anderson, and Y. Zhong, 2017a: Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor states using precipitation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration anomalies. Part I: Development of a non-discrete USDM index. J. Hydrometeor, 18, 1943-1962. View

Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. Hain, M. C. Anderson, and Y. Zhong, 2017b: Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor states using precipitation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration anomalies. Part 2: Intraseasonal drought intensification forecasts. J. Hydrometeor., 18, 1963-1982. View

Yang, Y., M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, C. Hain, W. P. Kustas, T. Meyers, W. T. Crow, R. G. Finocchiaro, J. A. Otkin, L. Sun, and Y. Yang, 2017: Impact of Tile Drainage on Evapotranspiration (ET) in South Dakota, USA Based on High Spatiotemporal Resolution ET Timeseries from a Multi-Satellite Data Fusion System. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing (JSTARS), 10, 2550-2564. View

Flanagan, P. X., J. B. Basara, B. G. Illston, and J. A. Otkin, 2017: The effect of the dryline and convective initiation on drought evolution over Oklahoma during the 2011 drought. Advances in Meteorology. View

Otkin, J. A., W. E. Lewis, A. Lenzen, B. McNoldy, and S. Majumdar, 2017: Assessing the accuracy of the cloud and water vapor fields in the Hurricane WRF (HWRF) model using satellite infrared brightness temperatures. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 2027-2046. View

Griffin, S. M., J. A. Otkin, C. M. Rozoff, J. M. Sieglaff, L. M. Cronce, and C. R. Alexander, 2017: Methods for comparing simulated and observed satellite infrared brightness temperatures and what do they tell us? Wea. Forecasting, 32, 5-25. View

Zhou, Y., X. Xiao, G. Zhang, P. Wagle, R. Bajgain, J. Dong, C. Jin, J. Basara, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and J. A. Otkin, 2017: Quantifying agricultural drought in tall grass prarie region in the U.S. Southern Great Plains through analysis of a water-related vegetation index from MODIS images. Agr. Forest Meteorol., 246, 111-122. View

In press:

Otkin, J. A., R. Potthast, and A. Lawless, 2017: Nonlinear bias correction for satellite data assimilation using Taylor series polynomials. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.

Otkin, J. A., M. Svoboda, E. D. Hunt, T. W. Ford, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and J. B. Basara, 2017: Flash droughts: A review and assessment of the challenges imposed by rapid onset droughts in the United States. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., in press.

Conditionally accepted:

Submitted:

In Preparation:

Otkin, J. A., Y. Zhong, D. Lorenz, M. C. Anderson, and C. Hain, 2017: Exploring seasonal and regional relationships between the Evaporative Stress Index and weather and soil moisture anomalies across the United States.

Kurzrock, F., S. Cros, F. Chane-Ming, J. A. Otkin, L. Linguet, A. Hutt, G. Lajoie, and R. Potthast, 2017: The assimilation of geostationary meteorological satellite observations in regional NWP for cloudiness forecasting.

 

2016

 

Boukabara, S. A., T. Zhu, H. L. Tolman, S. Lord, S. Goodman, R. Atlas, M. Goldberg, T. Auligne, R. B. Pierce, L. Cururull, M. Zupanski, M. Zhang, I. Moradi, J. A. Otkin, D. Santek, B. Hoover, Z. Pu, X. Zhan, C. Hain, E. Kalnay, D. Hotta, S. Nolin, E. Bayler, A. Mehra, S. Casey, D. Lindsey, L. Grasso, K. Kumar, A. Powell, J. Xu, T. Greenwald, J. Zajic, J. Li, J. Li, B. Li, J. Liu, L. Fang, P. Wang, and T.-C. Chen, 2016: S4: An O2R/R2O infrastructure for optimizing satellite data utilization in NOAA numerical modeling systems, a significant step toward bridging the valley of death. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 2379-2394. View

Anderson, M. C., C. R. Hain, F. Jurecka, M. Trnka, P. Hlavinka, W. Dulaney, J. A. Otkin, D. Johnson, and F. Gao, 2016: An energy balance approach for mapping crop water stress and yield impacts over the Czech Republic. Climate Research, 70, 215-230. View

Cintineo, R., J. A. Otkin, T. Jones, S. Koch, and D. J. Stensrud, 2016: Assimilation of synthetic GOES-R ABI infrared brightness temperatures and WSR-88D radar observations in a high-resolution OSSE. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3159-3180. View

Thompson, G., M. Tewari, K. Ikeda, S. Tessendorf, C. Weeks, J. A. Otkin, and F. Kong, 2016: Explicitly-coupled cloud physics and radiation parameterizations and subsequent evaluation in WRF high-resolution convective forecasts. Atmos. Res., 168, 92-104. View

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, M. Svoboda, D. Johnson, R. Mueller, T. Tadesse, B. Wardlow, and J. Brown, 2016: Assessing the evolution of soil moisture and vegetation conditions during the 2012 United States flash drought. Agr. Forest Meteorol., 218–219, 230–242. View

Anderson, M. C., C. Zolin, P. Sentelhas, C. R. Hain, K. Semmens, M. T. Yilmaz, F. Gao, J. A. Otkin, and R. Tetrault, 2016: Assessing correlations of satellite-derived evapotranspiration, precipitation, and leaf area index anomalies with yields of major Brazilian crops. Remote Sensing of Environment, 174, 82-99. View

Greenwald, T. J., R. B. Pierce, T. Schaack, J. A. Otkin, M. Rogal, K. Bah, H.-L. Huang, 2016: Near real-time production of simulated GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager data for user readiness and product validation. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 245-261. View

 

2015

 

Otkin, J. A., M. Shafer, M. Svoboda, B. Wardlow, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and J. Basara, 2015: Facilitating the use of drought early warning information through interactions with agricultural stakeholders. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 96, 1073-1078. View

Saide, P. E., S. N. Spak, R. B. Pierce, J. A. Otkin, T. K. Schaack, A. K. Heidinger, A. M. da Silva, M. Kacenelenbogen, J. Redemann ,and G. R. Carmichael, 2015: Role of Central American biomass burning smoke in increasing tornado severity in the U.S. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 956–965, doi:10.1002/2014GL062826. View

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and M. Svoboda, 2015: Using temporal changes in drought indices to generate probabilistic drought intensification forecasts. J. Hydrometeor., 16, 88-105. View

 

2014

 

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, and M. Svoboda, 2014: Examining the relationship between drought development and rapid changes in the Evaporative Stress Index. J. Hydrometeor., 15, 938-956. View

Lee, Y.-K., J. A. Otkin, and T. J. Greenwald, 2014: Evaluating model simulated cloud characteristics through comparisons with satellite observations. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 53, 1046-1058. View

Lim, A. H. N., J. A. Jung, H.-L. Huang, S. A. Ackerman, and J. A. Otkin, 2014: Assimilation of AIRS radiances in short term regional forecasts using community models. J. Appl. Remote Sen., 8, 083655, http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.8.083655. View

Jones, T. A., J. A. Otkin, D. J. Stensrud, and K. Knopfmeier, 2014: Forecast evaluation of an Observing System Simulation Experiment assimilating both radar and satellite data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 107-124. View

Cintineo, R., J. A. Otkin, F. Kong, and M. Xue, 2014: Evaluating the accuracy of planetary boundary layer and cloud microphysical parameterization schemes in a convection-permitting ensemble using synthetic GOES-13 satellite observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 163-182. View

Bormann, N., A. Hernandez-Carrascal, R. Borde, H.-J. Lutz, J. A. Otkin, and S. Wanzong, 2014: Atmospheric motion vectors from model simulations. Part I: Methods and characterization as single-level estimates of wind. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 53, 47-64. View

 

2013

 

Jones, T. A., J. A. Otkin, D. J. Stensrud, and K. Knopfmeier, 2013: Assimilation of simulated GOES-R satellite radiances and WSR-88D Doppler radar reflectivity and velocity using an Observing System Simulation Experiment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3273-3299. View

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, C. Hain, I. Mladenova, J. Basara, and M. Svoboda, 2013: Examining rapid onset drought development using the thermal infrared based Evaporative Stress Index. J. Hydrometeor., 14, 1057-1074. View

Anderson, M. C., C. Hain, J. A. Otkin, X. Zhan, K. Mo, M. Svoboda, W. Dulaney, and A. Pimstein, 2013: An intercomparison of drought indicators based on thermal remote sensing and NLDAS-2 simulations with U.S. Drought Monitor classifications. J. Hydrometeor., 14, 1035-1056. View

Anderson, M.C., W. P. Kustas, C. R. Hain, C. Cammalleri, F. Gao, M. T. Yilmaz, I. E. Mladenova, J.A. Otkin, M. A. Schull, and R. Houborg, 2013: Mapping Surface Fluxes and Moisture Conditions from Field to Global Scales using ALEXI/DisALEXI. Book chapter in Remote Sensing of Land Surface Turbulent Fluxes and Soil Surface Moisture Content, Taylor and Francis, 562 pp.

 

2012

 

Otkin, J. A., 2012: Assimilation of water vapor sensitive infrared brightness temperature observations during a high impact weather event. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D19203, doi:10.1029/2012JD017568. View

Bikos, D., D. T. Lindsey, J. A. Otkin, J. Sieglaff, L. Grasso, C. Siewart, J. Correia, M. Coniglio, R. Rabin, J. Kain, and S. Dembek, 2012: Synthetic satellite imagery for real-time high resolution model evaluation. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 784-795. View

Lakshmanan, V., R. Rabin, J. A. Otkin, J. S. Kain, and S. Dembek, 2012: Visualizing model data using a fast approximation of a radiative transfer model. J. Atmospheric and Oceanic Tech., 29, 745-754. View

Otkin, J. A., 2012: Assessing the impact of the covariance localization radius when assimilating infrared brightness temperature observations using an ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 543-561. View

 

2011

 

Hartung, D. C., J. A., Otkin, D. D. Turner, R. Peterson, and W. F. Feltz, 2011: Assimilation of surface-based boundary layer profiler observations during a cool season weather event using an Observation System Simulation Experiment. Part 2: Forecast assessment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2327-2346. View

Otkin, J. A., Hartung, D. C., D. D. Turner, R. Peterson, W. F. Feltz, and Erik Janzon, 2011: Assimilation of surface-based boundary layer profiler observations during a cool season weather event using an Observation System Simulation Experiment. Part 1: Analysis impact. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2309-2326. View

Li, J., J. Li, J. A. Otkin, T. J. Schmit, and C.-Y. Liu, 2011: Warning information in a Preconvection Environment from the Geostationary Advanced Infrared Sounding System -- A simulation using the IHOP case. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 50, 776-783. View

 

2010

 

Greenwald, T. J., Y.-K. Lee, J. A. Otkin, and T. L'Ecuyer, 2010: Evaluation of midlatitude clouds in a large-scale high-resolution simulation using CloudSat observations. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D19203, doi:10.1029/2009JD013552. View

Otkin, J. A., 2010: Clear and cloudy-sky infrared brightness temperature assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter. J. Geophys Res., 115, D1920, doi:10.1029/2009JD013759. View

Hartung, D. C., J. A. Otkin, J. E. Martin, and D. D. Turner, 2010: The life cycle of an undular bore and its interaction with a shallow, intense cold front. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 886-908. View

Bedka, K. M., J. Brunner, R. Dworak, W. Feltz, J. A. Otkin, and T. J. Greenwald, 2010: Objective overshooting top detection using infrared window channel brightness temperature gradients. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 49, 181-202. View

 

2009

 

Otkin, J. A., T. J. Greenwald, J. Sieglaff, and H.-L. Huang, 2009: Validation of a large-scale simulated brightness temperature dataset using SEVIRI satellite observations. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 1613-1626. View

Feltz, W. F., K. M. Bedka, J. A. Otkin, T. Greenwald, and S. A. Ackerman, 2009: Understanding satellite-observed mountain wave signatures using high-resolution numerical model data. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 76-86. View

 

2008

 

Otkin, J. A., and T. J. Greenwald, 2008: Comparison of WRF model-simulated and MODIS-derived cloud data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1957-1970.View

 

2007

 

Anderson, M. C., J. R. Norman, J. R. Mecikalski, J. A. Otkin, and W. P. Kustas, 2007: A climatological study of fluxes and moisture stress across the continental U. S. based on thermal remote sensing. 2: Surface Moisture Climatology. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11112, doi:10.1029/2006JD007507.View

Anderson, M. C., J. R. Norman, J. R. Mecikalski, J. A. Otkin, and W. P. Kustas, 2007: A climatological study of fluxes and moisture stress across the continental U. S. based on thermal remote sensing. 1: Model formulation. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10117, doi:10.1029/2006JD007506. View

Otkin, J. A., D. J. Posselt, E. R. Olson, H.-L. Huang, J. E. Davies, J. Li, and C. S. Velden, 2007: Mesoscale numerical weather prediction models used in support of infrared hyperspectral measurements simulation and product algorithm development. J. Atmospheric and Oceanic Tech., 24, 585-601. View

 

2005

 

Otkin, J. A., M. C. Anderson, J. R. Mecikalski, and G. R. Diak, 2005: Validation of GOES-based insolation estimates using data from the United States Climate Reference Network. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 460-475. View

 

2004



Otkin, J. A., and J. E. Martin, 2004: The large-scale modulation of subtropical cyclogenesis in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1813-1828. View

Otkin, J. A., and J. E. Martin, 2004: A synoptic climatology of the subtropical Kona storm. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1502-1517. View

Martin, J. E., and J. A. Otkin, 2004: The rapid growth and decay of an extratropical cyclone in the central Pacific Ocean. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 358-376. View

 

2003


Otkin, J. A., 2003: Composite and case study analyses of the structure and evolution of the subtropical Kona storm and its associated large-scale environment. MS Thesis, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin - Madison, 134pp.

 

2002



Hansen, A. R., G. D. Nastrom, J. A. Otkin, and F. D. Eaton, 2002: MST radar observations of gravity waves and turbulence near thunderstorms. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 298-305. View



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