Refereed Publications
Submitted
Kossin, J. P., T. L. Olander, and K. R. Knapp, 2013: Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity.
J. Climate, submitted.
Peterson, T. C., T. R. Karl, J. P. Kossin, K. E. Kunkel, J. H. Lawrimore, J. R. McMahon, R. S. Vose, and X. Yin, 2013:
Changes in weather and climate extremes: State of knowledge relevant to air and water quality.
J. of Air and Waste Management, submitted.
In press
Zwiers, F. W., L. V. Alexander, G. C. Hegerl, T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin, P. Naveau, N. Nicholls, C. Schär,
S. I. Seneviratne, and X. Zhang, 2013: World Climate Research Programme Open Science Conference Community Paper on Climate Extremes:
Challenges in estimating and understanding recent changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme climate and weather events.
Springer Monograph Series, in press.
Schreck, C. J. III, L. Shi, J. P. Kossin, and J. J. Bates, 2013:
Tropical intraseasonal variability in outgoing longwave radiation and upper tropospheric water vapor.
J. Climate, in press.
Kozar, M. E., M. E. Mann, S. J. Camargo, J. P. Kossin,
and J. E. Evans, 2013:
Statistical modeling of Atlantic tropical cyclone counts. J. Geophys. Res., in press.
2013
Kunkel, K. E., T. R. Karl, H. Brooks, J. Kossin, J. Lawrimore, D. Arndt, L. Bosart,
D. Changnon, S. Cutter, N. Doesken, K. Emanuel, P. Ya. Groisman,
R. W. Katz, T. Knutson, J. O'Brien, C. Paciorek, T. Peterson, K. Redmond, D. Robinson,
J. Trapp, R. Vose, S. Weaver, M. Wehner, K. Wolter, and
D. Wuebbles, 2013: Monitoring and understanding changes in extreme storm statistics: State of knowledge.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 499-514.
PDF
2012
Sitkowski, M., J. P. Kossin, C. M. Rozoff, and J. Knaff, 2012:
Hurricane eyewall replacement cycles and the relict inner eyewall circulation. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
140, 4035-4045. PDF
Williams, S. J., D. Atkinson, A. R. Byrd, H. Eicken, T. M. Hall, T. G. Huntington, Y. Kim, T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin,
M. Lilly, J. J. Marra, J. Obeysekera, A. Parris, J. Ratcliff, T. Ravens, D. Resio, P. Ruggiero, E. R. Thieler,
J. G. Titus, T. V. Wamsley, 2012: Physical climate forces. In: Coastal Impacts, Adaptation and
Vulnerability: A Technical Input to the 2012 National Climate Assessment [Burkett, V.R. and Davidson, M.A. (eds.)].
Cooperative Report to the 2013 National Climate Assessment, pp. 150.
PDF
Evan, A. T., J. P. Kossin, C. E. Chung and V. Ramanathan, 2012: Reply to "How have tropical storms over the
Arabian Sea intensified?", Nature, 489, E1-E3.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., D. S. Nolan, J. P. Kossin, F. Zhang,
and J. Fang, 2012:
The roles of an expanding wind field and inertial stability in tropical cyclone secondary
eyewall formation. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 2621-2643.
PDF
Emanuel, K., F. Fondriest, and J. Kossin, 2012:
Potential economic value of seasonal hurricane forecasts. Weather, Climate, and Society,
4, 110-117.
PDF
Kossin, J. P., and M. Sitkowski, 2012:
Predicting hurricane intensity and structure changes associated with eyewall replacement cycles.
Wea. Forecasting, 27, 484-488.
PDF
Seneviratne, S. I., N. Nicholls, D. Easterling, C. M. Goodess, S. Kanae, J. Kossin, Y. Luo,
J. Marengo, K. McInnes, M. Rahimi, M. Reichstein, A. Sorteberg, C. Vera, and X. Zhang, 2012:
Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Managing
the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
[Field, C. B., V. Barros, T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, D. J. Dokken, K. L. Ebi, M. D. Mastrandrea,
K. J. Mach, G. -K. Plattner, S. K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P. M. Midgley (eds.)].
A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 109-230.
Full report available here.
Peduzzi, P., B. Chatenoux, H. Dao, A. De Bono, C. Herold, J. Kossin, F. Mouton, and O. Nordbeck, 2012:
Tropical cyclones: Global trends in human exposure, vulnerability and risk. Nature Climate Change,
2, 289-294.
PDF
2011
Sitkowski, M., J. P. Kossin, and C. M. Rozoff, 2011: Intensity
and structure changes during hurricane
eyewall replacement cycles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 3829-3847.
PDF
Evan, A., T., J. P. Kossin, C. Chung, and V. Ramanathan, 2011: Arabian Sea tropical cyclones intensified
by emissions of black carbon and other aerosols.
Nature, 479, 94-97.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., and J. P. Kossin, 2011: New probabilistic forecast models for the
prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 677-689.
PDF
Knapp, K. R., S. Ansari, C. L. Bain, M. A. Bourassa, M. J. Dickinson, C. Funk, C. N. Helms, C. C. Hennon,
C. D. Holmes, G. J. Huffman, J. P. Kossin, H.-T. Lee, A. Loew, and G. Magnusdottir, 2011: Globally gridded satellite (GridSat) observations for climate studies.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 893-907.
PDF
2010
Kossin, J. P., S. J. Camargo, and M. Sitkowski, 2010:
Climate modulation of North Atlantic hurricane tracks. J. Climate, 23, 3057-3076.
PDF
Knutson, T. R., J. L. McBride, J. Chan, K. Emanuel, G. Holland, C. Landsea, I. Held,
J. P. Kossin, A. K. Srivastava, and M. Sugi, 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nature Geoscience, 3, doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
PDF (Article),
PDF (Supplemental Material)
2009
Kossin, J. P., and S. J. Camargo, 2009: Hurricane track variability and secular
potential intensity trends. Climatic Change, 97, 329-337, DOI:10.1007/s10584-009-9748-2.
PDF
Hendricks, E. A., W. H. Schubert, R. K. Taft, H. Wang, and J. P. Kossin, 2009:
Lifecycles of hurricane-like potential vorticity rings.
J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 705-722.
PDF
Evan, A. T., D. J. Vimont, A. K. Heidenger, J. P. Kossin,
and R. Bennartz, 2009: The role of aerosols in the evolution of
tropical North Atlantic Ocean temperature anomalies. Science, 324, 778-781.
PDF.
Link to abstract, paper, and supporting online material.
Kossin, J. P., and M. Sitkowski, 2009: An objective model for identifying secondary eyewall
formation in hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 876-892.
PDF
Limaye, S. S., J. P. Kossin, C. Rozoff, G. Piccione, D. V. Titov, and W. J. Markiewicz, 2009:
Vortex circulation on Venus:
Dynamical similarities with terrestrial hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04204, DOI:10.1029/2008GL036093.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., J. P. Kossin, W. H. Schubert, and P. J. Mulero, 2009:
Internal control of hurricane intensity: The dual nature of potential
vorticity mixing. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 133-147.
PDF
2008
Kossin, J. P., 2008: Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer? Geophys. Res. Lett., L23705,
DOI:10.1029/2008GL036012. PDF file (236 Kb)
Elsner, J. B., J. P. Kossin, and T. H. Jagger, 2008: The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature, 455, 92-95.
PDF file (232 Kb).
Link to abstract, paper, and supporting online material.
Bromirski, P. D., and J. P. Kossin, 2008: Increasing hurricane wave power along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts. J. Geophys.
Res., 113, C07012, DOI:10.1029/2007JC004706.
PDF file (1.3 Mb)
Rozoff, C. M., W. H. Schubert, and J. P. Kossin, 2008: Some dynamical aspects of tropical cyclone concentric eyewalls. Q. J. R.
Meteorol. Soc., 134, 583-593.
PDF
file (501 Kb)
Evan, A. T., A. K. Heidinger, R. Bennartz, V. Bennington, N. M. Mahowald, H. Corrada-Bravo, C. S. Velden, G. Myhre, and J. P. Kossin,
2008: Ocean temperature forcing by aerosols across the Atlantic tropical cyclone development region. Geochem., Geophys., Geosyst.,
9, Q05V04, DOI:10.1029/2007GC001774.
PDF file (215 Kb)
Kunkel, K. E., P. D. Bromirski, H. E. Brooks, T. Cavazos, A. V. Douglas, D. R. Easterling, K. A. Emanuel, P. Ya. Groisman, G. J. Holland,
T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin, P. D. Komar, D. H. Levinson, R. L. Smith, 2008: Observed Changes in Weather and Climate Extremes in
Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands.
T. R. Karl, G. A. Meehl, C. D. Miller, S. J. Hassol, A. M. Waple, and W. L. Murray (eds.).
A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington, DC.
Link to the report.
Knaff, J. A., T. A. Cram, A. B. Schumacher, J. P. Kossin, and M. DeMaria, 2008: Objective identification of annular hurricanes.
Wea. Forecasting, 23, 17-28.
PDF
file (1.1 Mb)
2007
Kossin, J. P., and D. J. Vimont, 2007: A more general framework for understanding Atlantic hurricane variability and trends.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 1767-1781. Abstract
here. PDF article file
here (3.1 Mb)
Vimont, D. J., and J. P. Kossin, 2007: The Atlantic meridional mode and hurricane activity. Geophys. Res. Lett.,
34, L07709, DOI:10.1029/2007GL029683.
PDF
file (2.3 Mb)
Kossin, J. P., K. R. Knapp, D. J. Vimont, R. J. Murnane, and B. A. Harper, 2007: A globally
consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34,
L04815, DOI:10.1029/2006GL028836.
PDF
file (377 Kb)
Schubert W. S., C. M. Rozoff, J. L. Vigh, B. D. McNoldy, and J. P. Kossin, 2007: On the
distribution of subsidence in the hurricane eye. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 595-605.
PDF
file (672 Kb)
Knapp, K. R., and J. P. Kossin, 2007: A new global tropical cyclone data set from ISCCP B1
geostationary satellite observations. J. of App. Remote Sensing, 1, 013505, DOI:10.1117/12.731296.
PDF
file (270 Kb)
Kossin, J. P., J. A. Knaff, H. I. Berger, D. C. Herndon, T. A. Cram, C. S. Velden, R. J.
Murnane, and J. D. Hawkins, 2007: Estimating hurricane wind structure in the absence of aircraft
reconnaissance. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 89-101.
PDF
file (1.3 Mb)
2006
Mueller, K. J., M. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, J. P. Kossin, and T. H. VonderHaar, 2006:
Objective estimation of tropical cyclone wind structure from infrared satellite data.
Wea. Forecasting, 21, 990-1005.
PDF
file (1.8 Mb)
Rozoff, C. M., W. H. Schubert, B. D. McNoldy, and J. P. Kossin,
2006: Rapid filamentation zones in intense tropical cyclones.
J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 325-340.
PDF
file (3 Mb)
2004
Knievel, J. C., D. S. Nolan, and J. P. Kossin, 2004: An assessment of the balance
in a mesoscale vortex within a midlatitude, continental mesoscale convective system.
J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1827-1832.
PDF
file (265 Kb)
Kossin, J. P., and W. H. Schubert, 2004: Mesovortices in Hurricane Isabel (2003).
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 151-153.
PDF
file (1.5 Mb)
Kossin, J. P., and C. S. Velden, 2004: A pronounced bias in tropical cyclone
minimum sea-level pressure estimation based on the Dvorak technique. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
132, 165-173. PDF
file (257 Kb)
2003
Knaff, J. A., J. P. Kossin, and M. DeMaria, 2003: Annular Hurricanes.
Wea. Forecasting, 18, 204-223.
PDF
file (1.1 Mb)
Kossin, J. P., and W. H. Schubert, 2003: Diffusion versus advective
rearrangement of a circular vortex sheet. J. Atmos. Sci., 60,
586-589. PDF
file (134 Kb)
2002
Kossin, J. P., B. D. McNoldy, and W. H. Schubert, 2002: Vortical
swirls in hurricane eye clouds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 3144-3149.
PDF
file (1.1 Mb)
Kossin, J. P., 2002: Daily hurricane variability
inferred from GOES infrared imagery. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2260-2270.
PDF
file (731 Kb)
2001
Prieto, R., J. P. Kossin, and W. H. Schubert, 2001: Symmetrization
of lopsided vorticity monopoles and offset hurricane eyes.
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 2307-2328.
PDF
file (8.7 Mb)
Kossin, J. P., and W. H. Schubert, 2001: Mesovortices, polygonal
flow patterns, and rapid pressure falls in hurricane-like vortices.
J.
Atmos. Sci., 58, 2196-2209.
PDF
file (585 Kb)
Kossin, J. P., and M. D. Eastin, 2001: Two distinct regimes in
the kinematic and thermodynamic structure of the hurricane eye and eyewall.
J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1079-1090.
PDF
file (451 Kb)
2000 and earlier
Kossin, J. P., W. H. Schubert, and M. T. Montgomery, 2000: Unstable
interactions between a hurricane's primary eyewall and a secondary ring
of enhanced vorticity. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 3893-3917.
PDF file (1.8 Mb)
Schubert, W. H., M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Taft, T. A. Guinn, S. R. Fulton,
J. P. Kossin, and J. P. Edwards, 1999: Polygonal eyewalls, asymmetric
eye contraction, and potential vorticity mixing in hurricanes. J. Atmos.
Sci., 56, 1197-1223. PDF
file (617 Kb)
Saridakis, Y. G., and J. P. Kossin, 1990: On exact
convergence of the accelerated overrelaxation method when applied to
consistently ordered systems. Int. Journal of
Comp. Mathematics, 33, 251-261.
PDF
file (848 Kb)
Non-refereed publications
Levinson, D. H., K. R. Knapp, M. C. Kruk, Diamond, H. J., and J. P. Kossin, 2010:
The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) project: Overview of methods and Indian Ocean statistics.
Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, Y. Charabi (Ed.), Earth and Environmental Science Series, Springer, 373 pp.
PDF file (704 Kb)
Kossin, J. P., and M. Sitkowski, 2008: An objective model for identifying secondary
hurricane eyewalls. Papers of Note, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 1637-1638.
Kossin, J. P., 2008: A scientific tempest. Book review, American Scientist, 96, 78-80. PDF
file (116 Kb)
Kossin, J. P., 2002: Oscillations of the Tropical Storm
Canopy. Papers of Note, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1295-1296.
Kossin, J. P., 2002: Oscillations of the Cirrus Canopy. Conference Papers of Note,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 361-362.
Kossin, J. P., 2000: Barotropic instability and asymmetric mixing in
hurricanes with primary and secondary eyewalls. Ph.D. Dissertation,
Colorado State University.
PDF
file (19 Mb)
Kossin, J. P., 1987: On exact convergence of the accelerated overrelaxation
method when applied to consistently ordered systems. M.S. Thesis,
Clarkson University.
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