{"id":14730,"date":"2022-10-13T17:34:52","date_gmt":"2022-10-13T17:34:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/?p=14730"},"modified":"2022-11-14T22:29:20","modified_gmt":"2022-11-14T22:29:20","slug":"supercells-supercomputers-and-tornadogenesis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/articles\/14730","title":{"rendered":"Supercells, supercomputers and tornadogenesis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Through lines of code, Kelton Halbert simulates some of the world\u2019s most violent thunderstorms to date. Long-lived, violent tornadoes \u2014 like those that devastated cities in El Reno, Oklahoma or Mayfield, Kentucky \u2014 are recreated in a supercomputer to better understand how and why tornadoes form, or why they don\u2019t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhether you get a supercell that spawns a tornado or not, it\u2019s all useful information in our simulations,\u201d says Halbert, graduate student at the University of Wisconsin\u2013Madison Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/vorticity-render.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/vorticity-render-933x1026.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14732\" width=\"408\" height=\"449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/vorticity-render-933x1026.png 933w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/vorticity-render-295x325.png 295w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/vorticity-render-768x845.png 768w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/vorticity-render.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 408px) 100vw, 408px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>UW-Madison Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences graduate student Kelton Halbert uses super computers to simulate some of the world&#8217;s most destructive supercells and tornadoes.<br> Credit: Kelton Halbert<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Halbert came to UW\u2013Madison in 2017 after receiving his undergraduate degree in meteorology from the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He plans to complete his Ph.D. in 2023 and has since accepted a position with the NOAA <a href=\"https:\/\/ciwro.ou.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations<\/a> (CIWRO), also in Norman, to continue his research investigating severe weather and the formation of tornadoes or tornadogenesis. The position is a research-to-operations job working closely with the NOAA\/National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center. Halbert says he will be developing new forecast tools and techniques related to severe weather and tornadoes and working with the annual NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed to evaluate those tools in an operational setting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI am using the expertise I\u2019ve gained from my grad work with UW,\u201d says Halbert. \u201cSpecifically working with super computers and modeling to create new forecasting tools with real world impacts.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A supercell simulation begins with what is known as a \u2018sounding\u2019 or physical measurements of atmospheric conditions like temperature, humidity, air pressure, wind speed and direction. The measurements are sometimes derived from actual events like those that spawned deadly tornadoes in 2013 and 2021.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-1026x770.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14738\" width=\"409\" height=\"306\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-1026x770.jpg 1026w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-325x244.jpg 325w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Kelton_Halbert-2048x1536.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 409px) 100vw, 409px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Kelton Halbert has accepted a position with the NOAA <a href=\"https:\/\/ciwro.ou.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations<\/a> (CIWRO), in Norman, OK to continue his research investigating severe weather and the formation of tornadoes or tornadogenesis Credit: Kelton Halbert<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>With these values uploaded, a powerful supercomputer at the Texas Advanced Computer Center at the University of Texas at Austin plays out the scenarios of turbulent air resulting from these conditions that are the seeds of severe weather. Each simulation takes anywhere from six hours to three days to run, with no guarantee of a tornado forming. Halbert says the randomness of the simulations mirror reality where conditions may or may not be conducive to forming tornadoes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt goes right back to principles of the chaos theory by Lorenz, where small perturbations in an initial state can expand in a lot of different directions,\u201d says Halbert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The simulations allow Halbert to rewind the storm scenes and investigate frame-by-frame the dynamics at play. Previous tornado research by UW\u2013Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies scientist Dr. Leigh Orf has revealed key structures such as inlet flows of cold air that are essential for starting and sustaining a tornado on its path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Halbert plans to continue his research into severe weather while working with forecasters at the Storm Prediction Center to develop and improve tools and techniques, ultimately to improve weather forecasts and provide people more advanced warning time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Through lines of code, Kelton Halbert simulates some of the world&#8217;s most violent thunderstorms to date. Long-lived, violent tornadoes &#8211; like those that devastated cities in El Reno, Oklahoma or Mayfield, Kentucky &#8211; are recreated in a supercomputer to better understand how and why tornadoes form, or why they don&#8217;t.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":14731,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,3],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-14730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured-stories","category-news-articles","tag-cimss"],"acf":{"guest_author":[{"first_name":"","last_name":"","link":""}],"ssec_home_page_carousel_image":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2022\/10\/Tornadogensis_Supercomputer.jpg","include_for_media_link":"no","sub_title":"","short_title":"Supercells, supercomputers and tornadogenesis"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14730"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14730\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14838,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14730\/revisions\/14838"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}