{"id":8162,"date":"2015-09-28T13:00:27","date_gmt":"2015-09-28T18:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/?p=8162"},"modified":"2015-09-28T13:00:50","modified_gmt":"2015-09-28T18:00:50","slug":"ssec-scientist-leads-field-in-hyper-realistic-storm-simulation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/articles\/8162","title":{"rendered":"SSEC scientist leads field in hyper-realistic storm simulation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A hyper-realistic storm simulation released by Space Science and Engineering Center (SSEC) scientist Leigh Orf recently won a people\u2019s choice award from XSEDE15, an annual gathering of computing experts.<\/p>\n<p>The simulation is a digital replica of a long-track EF5 storm, the rarest but most devastating type of tornado. Just how realistic is it? See for yourself.<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/youtu.be\/WL52ogTY9Ak<\/p>\n<p>As a researcher at Central Michigan University, Orf spent the past year-and-a-half creating the simulation on the Blue Waters supercomputer at the University of Illinois.<\/p>\n<p>Using data provided by Lou Wicker at NOAA\u2019s National Severe Storms Laboratory, he forecast variables such as wind, temperature, pressure, precipitation, and turbulent kinetic energy with the CM1 open-source atmospheric model, developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).<\/p>\n<p>He then turned his model data over to visualization specialists Rob Sisneros and David Bock at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications (NCSA), who brought the simulation to life with advanced rendering software.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProbably no one would mistake it for a real video, but this is the best photorealistic rendering of a supercell I have ever seen,\u201d said Orf, who has studied supercells \u2014 storms characterized by powerfully rotating winds \u2014 and storm simulation techniques for more than a decade. \u201cIt\u2019s breathtaking.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>While visualizations like this are undeniably eye-pleasing, Orf sees them foremost as an important science tool, allowing scientists to validate their modeling with observations.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe are visual beings; we look with our eyes,\u201d he said. \u201cMy philosophy has always been that if you are going to model something, like a thunderstorm, if you can\u2019t visualize it in a way that looks real then there\u2019s probably something wrong with your simulation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The finished product represents a real-life storm that occurred near El Reno, OK, and eventually formed a long-track EF5 tornado, on 24 May 2011. Cutting a path one mile wide and 63 miles long, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.srh.noaa.gov\/oun\/?n=events-20110524-tornado-b2\">the tornado<\/a> killed nine people and injured 181 others.<\/p>\n<p>It is the strongest, longest-lasting supercell ever simulated in a cloud model.<\/p>\n<p>Orf said he hopes this breakthrough will lead to answers about what causes these select few tornadoes to persist for up to several hours after forming.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith everything swirling around, you can\u2019t just look at weather maps,\u201d he said. \u201cThese simulations break down the physics taking place inside a storm, to tell you what\u2019s going on.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Having earned his PhD at the University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences in 1997, Orf returns to SSEC this fall to continue to pursue his unique brand of supercell simulation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI am looking forward to being 100 percent research at SSEC, to devoting all my time to this work,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSSEC has a strong set of observational and remote-sensing research groups, and there are a lot of great scientists there that I hope to collaborate with, and branch out,\u201d he added, noting that the upcoming launch of next-generation geostationary satellite GOES-R will improve capabilities to study supercells in far greater detail from space.<\/p>\n<p>Orf said his first goal is to publish the El Reno tornado simulation, and reproduce the results at higher resolutions. He also plans to pick one or more high-profile storms \u2014 such as Joplin, MO; Moore, OK; or Tuscaloosa, AL \u2014 to use as case studies.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI see this as the start,\u201d he said. \u201cI want to apply this approach towards similar devastating supercell events, and continue to push the field forward.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>by Sarah Witman<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bringing the world&#8217;s most devastating storms to life<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":8166,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-articles"],"acf":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8162"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8162\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8165,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8162\/revisions\/8165"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}