National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Center for Weather and Climate, Madison, Wisconsin
Duty Station:
NOAA Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies
University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin
Kossin, J. P., 2020: Covariability of tropical cyclone steering wind and surface temperature.
J. Climate, in review.
Guo, X., J. P. Kossin, and Z.-M. Tan, 2020: Impact of the North Atlantic jet stream on the seasonality of hurricane
translation speed changes near the North American coast. J. Climate, in review.
Guo, X., J. P. Kossin, and Z.-M. Tan, 2020: Global vertical wind shear variability and trend
and its impact on tropical cyclone intensity change. J. Climate, in review.
Lin, I.-I., S. J. Camargo, C.-C. Lien, C.-A. Shi, and J. P. Kossin, 2020: Poleward migration modulates
global warming’s impact on tropical cyclones. Nature Comm., in review.
Shultz, J. M., J. P. Kossin, J. M. Shepherd, C. Ettman, J. M. Ransdell, G. V. Desir, and S. Galea, 2020:
Tropical cyclone impacts on island-based populations: The 2017 Atlantic hurricane basin’s perfect
storm season. Submitted to the Oxford Handbook of Complex Disaster Risks, Shultz, J. M., Rechkemmer,
A., Johnson, N. (eds.). New York, NY, Oxford University Press. In review.
Espinel, Z., J. C. Morganstein, A. McLean, C. Caban-Aleman,
R. Cooper, J. C. Nunes Silva, J. P. Kossin, S. Galea, and J. M. Shultz, 2020:
Disasters and Trauma: The Case Example of Atlantic Hurricanes in the
Era of Climate Change. British J. of Psychiatry, in review.
Kossin, J. P., D. C. Herndon, A. J. Wimmers, E. Blake, and X. Guo, 2020:
M-PERC: A new satellite microwave-based model to predict the
onset of tropical cyclone eyewall replacement cycles.
Wea. Forecasting, in preparation.
In Press
Hall, T. M., J. P. Kossin, T. Thompson, and J. McMahon, 2020: U.S. tropical cyclone activity projected into the 2030s.
J. Climate, in press.
2020
Kossin, J. P., K. R. Knapp, T. L. Olander, and C. S. Velden, 2020: Global increase in major tropical cyclone exceedance
probability over the past four decades. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 117, 11975-11980.
Link.
Shultz, J. M., D. E. L. Sands, J. P. Kossin, and S. Galea, 2020:
Double environmental injustice — Climate change, Hurricane Dorian,
and the Bahamas. New England J. of Medicine, 382,
doi:10.1056/NEJMp1912965.
Link.
Shultz, J. M., J. P. Kossin, A. Ali, V. Borowy, C. Fugate, Z. Espinel, and S. Galea, 2020:
Superimposed threats to population health from tropical cyclones in the prevaccine era of COVID-19.
The Lancet Planetary Health, 4, E506-E508.
Link.
Shultz, J. M., D. E. L. Sands, N. Holder-Hamilton, W. Hamilton, S. Goud, K. M. Nottage, Z. Espinal, S. Friedman, C. Fugate,
J. P. Kossin, and S. Galea, 2020: Scrambling for safety in the eye of Dorian: Mental health consequences of exposure
to a climate-driven hurricane. Health Affairs, 39, 2120–2127. doi:10.1377/hlthaff.2020.01203
Link.
Shapiro, L. T., Jimenez, V., Espinel, Z., Galea, S., Kossin, J., and Shultz, J. M., 2020: Preparing survivors of traumatic brain injury for
catastrophic hurricanes in the time of climate change. J. of Head Trauma Rehabilitation, doi: 10.1097/HTR.0000000000000571
Link.
Knutson, T., S. J. Camargo, J. C. L. Chan, K. Emanuel, C.-H. Ho,
J. Kossin, M. Mohapatra, M. Satoh, M. Sugi, K. Walsh, and L. Wu, 2020:
Tropical cyclones and climate change assessment:
Part II. Projections. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E303–E322.
Link.
Bosma, C. D., D. B. Wright, P. Nguyen, J. P. Kossin, D. C. Herndon, and J.
M. Shepherd, 2020: An intuitive metric to quantify and communicate tropical
cyclone rainfall hazard. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E206–E220.
Link.
Shapiro, L. T., D. R. Gater Jr., Z. Espinel, J. P. Kossin, S. Galea, and J. M. Shultz, 2020:
Preparing individuals with spinal cord injury for extreme storms in the era of climate change.
The Lancet EClinical Med., 18, 100232.
Link.
Shultz, J. M., J. P. Kossin, A. J. Hertelendy, F. Burkle, C. Fugate, R. Sherman, J. Bakalar,
K. Berg, A. Maggioni, Z. Espinel, D. E. Sands, R. C. LaRocque, R. N. Salas and S. Galea, 2020:
Mitigating the twin threats of climate-driven Atlantic hurricanes and COVID-19 transmission. Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness, 1-30, doi:10.1017/dmp.2020.243
Link.
Staten, P. W, K. M. Grise, S. M. Davis, K. B. Karnauskas, D. W. Waugh,
A. Maycock, Q. Fu, K. Cook, O. Adam, I. R. Simpson, R. J. Allen,
K. Rosenlof, G. Chen, C. C. Ummenhofer, X.-W. Quan, J. P. Kossin,
N. A. Davis, and S.-W. Son, 2020: Tropical widening: From global variations
to regional impacts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E897–E904.
Link.
2019
Kossin, J. P., 2019: Reply to: Moon, I.-J. et al.; Lanzante, J. R. Nature, 570, E16-E22.
Link.
Hall, T. M., and J. P. Kossin, 2019: Hurricane stalling along the North American coast
and implications for rainfall. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 2,
doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0074-8.
Link.
Ting, M., J. P. Kossin, S. J. Camargo, and C. Li, 2019: Past and future
hurricane intensity change along the U.S. East Coast. Scientific Reports, 9:7795,
10.1038/s41598-019-44252-w.
Link.
Bhatia, K., G. Vecchi, T. Knutson, H. Murakami, J. Kossin, K. Dixon,
and C. Whitlock, 2019: Recent increases in tropical cyclone intensification rates.
Nature Communications, 10, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08471-z.
Link.
Espinel, Z., J. P. Kossin, S. Galeo, A. S. Richardson, and J. M. Shultz, 2019: Forecast: Increasing mental
health consequences from Atlantic hurricanes throughout the 21st century.
Psychiatric Services, doi: 10.1176/appi.ps.201900273.
Link.
Espinel, Z., S. Galea, J. P. Kossin, C. Caban-Aleman, and J. M. Shultz, 2019:
Climate-driven Atlantic hurricanes pose rising threats for Psychopathology.
The Lancet Psychiatry, 6, 721-723.
Link.
Knutson, T., S. J. Camargo, J. C. L. Chan, K. Emanuel, C.-H. Ho,
J. Kossin, M. Mohapatra, M. Satoh, M. Sugi, K. Walsh, and L. Wu, 2019:
Tropical cyclones and climate change assessment:
Part I. Detection and attribution.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, 1987-2007.
Link.
Walsh, K. J. E., S. J. Camargo, T. R. Knutson, J. Kossin, T.-C. Lee, H. Murakami, and C. Patricola, 2019:
Tropical cyclones and climate change.
Tropical Cyclone Research Review, 8, 240-250.
PDF.
Kossin, J. P., 2018: Comment on "Spatial and Temporal Trends in the Location of the Lifetime Maximum
Intensity of Tropical Cyclones" by
Tennille and Ellis. Atmosphere, 9, 241-244.
Link.
Emanuel, K., P. Caroff, S. Delgado, C. Guard, M. Guishard, C. Hennon, J. Knaff,
K. Knapp, J. Kossin, C. Schreck, C. Velden, and J. Vigh, 2018:
On the desirability and feasibility of a global reanalysis of tropical cyclones.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 427-429.
Link.
Shultz, J. M., J. P. Kossin, C. Ettman, P. L. Kinney, and S. Galea, 2018:
The 2017 perfect storm season, climate change, and environmental injustice.
The Lancet Planetary Health, 2, E370-E371.
Link.
Gould, W.A., E.L. Díaz, (co-leads), N.L. Álvarez-Berríos, F. Aponte-González,
W. Archibald, J.H. Bowden, L. Carrubba, W. Crespo, S.J. Fain, G. González,
A. Goulbourne, E. Harmsen, E. Holupchinski, A.H. Khalyani, J. Kossin,
A.J. Leinberger, V.I. Marrero-Santiago, O. Martínez-Sánchez, K. McGinley,
P. Méndez-Lázaro, J. Morell, M.M. Oyola, I.K. Parés-Ramos, R. Pulwarty,
W.V. Sweet, A. Terando, and S. Torres-González, 2018: U.S. Caribbean.
In Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: Fourth National
Climate Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller, D.R., C.W. Avery,
D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K. Maycock, and
B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington,
DC, USA, pp. 809–871. doi: 10.7930/NCA4.2018.CH20
Link.
Shultz, J. M., J. P. Kossin, and S. Galea, 2018: The need to integrate climate science into public health
preparedness for hurricanes and tropical cyclones. JAMA, 16, 1637–1638.
Link.
Shultz, J. M., J. P. Kossin, J. M. Shepherd, J. M. Ransdell, R. Walshe, I. Kelman, and S. Galea, 2018:
Hurricane risks, health consequences, and response challenges for small island based populations:
Observations from the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season.
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness, doi: 10.1017/dmp.2018.28.
Link.
Herring, S. C., N. Christidis, A. Hoell, J. P. Kossin, C. J. Schreck III, and P. A. Stott, 2018: Introduction to explaining
extreme events of 2016 from a climate perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, S1-S6.
Link.
Stott, P. A., N. Christidis, S. C. Herring, A. Hoell, J. P. Kossin, and C. J. Schreck III, 2018: Future challenges in event
attribution methodologies. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, S155-S157.
Link.
Bhatia, K., G. Vecchi, H. Murakami, S. Underwood, and J. Kossin, 2018: Projected response of tropical cyclone
intensity and intensification in a global climate model.
J. Climate, 31, 8281–8303.
Link.
Dougherty, E. M., J. Molinari, R. F. Rogers, J. A. Zhang, and J. P. Kossin, 2018:
Hurricane Bonnie (1998): Maintaining intensity during high vertical wind shear
and an eyewall replacement cycle. J. Atmos. Sci., 146, 3383–3399.
Link.
Ferré, I. M., S. Negrón, H. Pantin, S. J. Schwartz, J. P. Kossin, and J. M. Shultz, 2018:
Hurricane Maria’s landfall near Punta Santiago, Puerto Rico:
Community needs and mental health assessment 6 months post-impact.
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness, 1-6. doi:10.1017/dmp.2018.103.
Link.
Zhang, L., T. Rechtman, K. B. Karnauskas, L. Li, J. P. Donnelly, and J. P. Kossin, 2017: Longwave emission trends
over Africa and implications for Atlantic hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL073869.
Link.
Velden, C., T. Olander, D. Herndon, and J. P. Kossin, 2017: Reprocessing the most intense historical tropical
cyclones in the satellite era using the Advanced Dvorak Technique. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
145, 971-983.
Link.
Kossin, J.P., T. Hall, T. Knutson, K.E. Kunkel, R.J. Trapp, D.E. Waliser, and M.F. Wehner, 2017: Extreme storms. In: Climate Science Special Report:
Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)].
U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 257-276, doi: 10.7930/J07S7KXX.
Link.
Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, B. DeAngelo, S. Doherty, K. Hayhoe, R. Horton, J.P. Kossin, P.C. Taylor, A.M. Waple, and C.P. Weaver, 2017:
Executive summary. In: Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken,
B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 12-34, doi: 10.7930/J0DJ5CTG.
Link.
Wuebbles, D.J., D.R. Easterling, K. Hayhoe, T. Knutson, R.E. Kopp, J.P. Kossin, K.E. Kunkel, A.N. LeGrande, C. Mears, W.V. Sweet, P.C. Taylor, R.S. Vose,
and M.F. Wehner, 2017: Our globally changing climate. In: Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J.,
D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA,
pp. 35-72, doi: 10.7930/J08S4N35.
Link.
Knutson, T., J.P. Kossin, C. Mears, J. Perlwitz, and M.F. Wehner, 2017: Detection and attribution of climate change. In: Climate Science Special Report:
Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)].
U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 114-132, doi: 10.7930/J01834ND.
Link.
Perlwitz, J., T. Knutson, J.P. Kossin, and A.N. LeGrande, 2017: Large-scale circulation and climate variability. In: Climate Science Special Report:
Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)].
U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 161-184, doi: 10.7930/J0RV0KVQ.
Link.
2016
Kossin, J. P., K. A. Emanuel, and S. J. Camargo, 2016: Past and projected changes in western North Pacific tropical cyclone exposure.
J. Climate, 29, 5725-5739.
Link.
Kossin, J. P., K. A. Emanuel, and G. A. Vecchi, 2016: Comment on 'Roles of interbasin frequency changes in the poleward
shifts of the maximum intensity location of tropical cyclones'. Env. Res. Lett., 11, 068001.
Link.
Kossin, J. P., and M. DeMaria, 2016: Reducing operational hurricane intensity forecast errors during
eyewall replacement cycles. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 601-608.
Link.
Walsh, K. J. E., J. L. McBride, P. J. Klotzbach, S. Balachandran, S. J. Camargo, G. Holland, T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin,
T.-C. Lee, A. Sobel, and M. Sugi, 2016: Tropical cyclones and climate change. WIREs Climate Change,
7, 65-89, doi:10.1002/wcc371.
Link.
Knapp, K. R., J. L. Matthews, J. P. Kossin, and C. C. Hennon, 2016: Identification of tropical cyclone “storm types” using crowd-sourcing.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3783-3798.
Link.
Yan, Q., T. Wei, R. Korty, J. P. Kossin, Z. Zhang, and H. J. Wang, 2016: Enhanced intensity of global tropical cyclones
during the mid-Pliocene warm period. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 113, 12963–12967.
Link.
Herring, S. C., A. Hoell, M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, C. J. Schreck III, and P. A. Stott, Eds., 2016: Explaining extreme events of
2015 from a climate perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97 (12), S1–S145.
Link.
Herring, S. C., A. Hoell, M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, C. J. Schreck III, and P. A. Stott, 2016:
Introduction to Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97 (12), S1–S3.
Link.
Herring, S. C., A. Hoell, M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, C. J. Schreck III, and P. A. Stott, 2016:
Summary and broader centext (Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 from a Climate Perspective).
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97 (12), S141–S145.
Link.
2015
Kossin, J. P., T. R. Karl, T. R. Knutson, K. A. Emanuel, K. E. Kunkel, and J. J. O'Brien, 2015:
Reply to 'Comment on "Monitoring and Understanding Trends in Extreme Storms - State of Knowledge"'
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1177–1179.
Link.
Kossin, J. P., 2015: Validating atmospheric reanalysis data using tropical cyclones as thermometers.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1089–1096.
Link.
Kossin, J. P., 2015: Hurricane wind-pressure relationship and eyewall replacement cycles.
Wea. Forecasting, 30, 177-181.
Link.
Herring, S. C., M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, T. C. Peterson, and P. A. Stott, Eds., 2015:
Explaining extreme events of 2014 from a climate perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, S1–S172.
Link.
Herring, S. C., M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, T. C. Peterson, and P. A. Stott, 2015: Introduction to
Explaining extreme events of 2014 from a climate perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, S1–S4.
Link.
Herring, S. C., M. P. Hoerling, J. P. Kossin, T. C. Peterson, and P. A. Stott, 2015: Summary and broader context
(Explaining extreme events of 2014 from a climate perspective). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, S168–S172.
Link.
Rozoff, C. M., C. S. Velden, J. Kaplan, J. P. Kossin, and A. J. Wimmers, 2015:
Improvements in the probabilistic prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification
resulting from inclusion of passive microwave observations. Wea. Forecasting,
30, 1016-1038.
Link.
Walsh, K. J. E., S. J. Camargo, G. A. Vecchi, A. S. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel,
M. Horn, Y.-K. Lim, M. Roberts, C. Patricola, E. Scoccimarro, A. H. Sobel, S. Strazzo,
G. Villarini, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, J. P. Kossin, T. LaRow, K. Oouchi, S. Schubert, H. Wang,
J. Bacmeister, P. Chang, F. Chauvin, C. Jablonowski, A. Kumar, H. Murakami, T. Ose, K. A. Reed,
R. Saravanan, Y. Yamada, C. M. Zarzycki, P. L. Vidale, J. A. Jonas and N. Henderson, 2015:
Hurricanes and climate: the U. S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanes. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
96, 997-1017.
Link.
Hennon, C. C., K. R. Knapp, C. J. Schreck III, S. E. Stevens, J. P. Kossin, P. W. Thorne, P. A. Hennon, M. J. Kruk,
J. Rennie, J.-M. Gadea, M. Striegl, and I. Carley, 2015: Cyclone Center: Can citizen scientists improve
tropical cyclone intensity records?
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
96, 591-607.
Link..
Kaplan, J., C. M. Rozoff, M. DeMaria, C. R. Sampson, J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, J. J. Cione, J. P. Dunion, J. A. Knaff,
J. A. Zhang, J. F. Dostalek, J. D. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, and J. E. Solbrig, 2016: Evaluating environmental impacts on tropical
cyclone rapid intensification predictability utilizing statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1374-1396.
Link.
Daloz, A. S., S. J. Camargo, J. P. Kossin, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, J. A. Jonas, D. Kim, T. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, C. M. Patricola,
M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, D. Shaevitz,
P. L. Vidale, H. Wang, M. Wehner, and M. Zhao, 2015: Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated
North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 28, 1333-1361.
Link.
2014
Kossin, J. P., K. A. Emanuel, and G. A. Vecchi, 2014: The poleward migration of the location of
tropical cyclone maximum intensity. Nature, 509, 349-352.
Link.
Schreck, C. J. III, K. R. Knapp, and J. P. Kossin, 2014:
The impact of best track discrepancies on global tropical cyclone climatologies using IBTrACS.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 3881-3899.
Link.
Banholzer, S., J. Kossin, and S. Donner, 2014: The Impact of Climate Change on Natural Disasters. In: Preventing Disaster:
Early Warning Systems for Climate Change.
[A. Singh and Z. Zommers (Eds)]. Springer Netherlands, pp. 387, May 2014. Chapter available
here.
Complete book available
here.
Walsh, J., D. Wuebbles, K. Hayhoe, J. Kossin, K. Kunkel, G. Stephens, P. Thorne, R. Vose, M. Wehner, J. Willis,
D. Anderson, S. Doney, R. Feely, P. Hennon, V. Kharin, T. Knutson, F. Landerer, T. Lenton, J. Kennedy, and
R. Somerville, 2014: Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate. Climate Change Impacts in the United States:
The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds.,
U.S. Global Change Research Program, 19-67. doi:10.7930/J0KW5CXT.
Link to 3rd National Climate Assessment,
Chapter 2, "Changes in Hurricanes".
Peterson, T. C., T. R. Karl, J. P. Kossin, K. E. Kunkel, J. H. Lawrimore, J. R. McMahon, R. S. Vose, and X. Yin, 2014:
Changes in weather and climate extremes: State of knowledge relevant to air and water quality.
J. of the Air and Waste Management Association, 64, 184-197.
Link to Open Access paper.
2013
Kossin, J. P., T. L. Olander, and K. R. Knapp, 2013: Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity.
J. Climate, 26, 9960-9976.
PDF.
Zwiers, F. W., L. V. Alexander, G. C. Hegerl, T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin, P. Naveau, N. Nicholls, C. Schär,
S. I. Seneviratne, and X. Zhang, 2013: Challenges in estimating and understanding recent changes in the frequency and intensity of
extreme climate and weather events. In Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modeling and Prediction Priorities.
Ghassem R. Asrar, and James W. Hurrell (Eds). Springer, Netherlands, pp. 339-389.
PDF
Kunkel, K. E., T. R. Karl, H. Brooks, J. Kossin, J. Lawrimore, D. Arndt, L. Bosart,
D. Changnon, S. Cutter, N. Doesken, K. Emanuel, P. Ya. Groisman,
R. W. Katz, T. Knutson, J. O'Brien, C. Paciorek, T. Peterson, K. Redmond, D. Robinson,
J. Trapp, R. Vose, S. Weaver, M. Wehner, K. Wolter, and
D. Wuebbles, 2013: Monitoring and understanding trends in extreme storms: State of knowledge.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 499-514.
PDF
Christensen, J. H., K. Krishna Kumar, E. Aldrian, S.-I. An, I. F. A. Cavalcanti, M. de Castro, W. Dong,
P. Goswami, A. Hall, J. K. Kanyanga, A. Kitoh,
J. Kossin, N.-C. Lau, J. Renwick, D. Stephenson, S.-P. Xie and T. Zhou, 2013:
Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change.
In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the
Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen,
J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y.Xia, V. Bex, P. M. Midgley (eds.)].
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
Link to AR5, Chapter 14.
Schreck, C. J. III, L. Shi, J. P. Kossin, and J. J. Bates, 2013:
Identifying the MJO, equatorial waves, and their impacts using 32 years of HIRS upper-tropospheric water vapor.
J. Climate, 26, 1418-1431.
Link.
2012
Sitkowski, M., J. P. Kossin, C. M. Rozoff, and J. Knaff, 2012:
Hurricane eyewall replacement cycles and the relict inner eyewall circulation. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
140, 4035-4045. PDF
Williams, S. J., D. Atkinson, A. R. Byrd, H. Eicken, T. M. Hall, T. G. Huntington, Y. Kim, T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin,
M. Lilly, J. J. Marra, J. Obeysekera, A. Parris, J. Ratcliff, T. Ravens, D. Resio, P. Ruggiero, E. R. Thieler,
J. G. Titus, T. V. Wamsley, 2012: Physical climate forces. In: Coastal Impacts, Adaptation and
Vulnerability: A Technical Input to the 2012 National Climate Assessment [Burkett, V.R. and Davidson, M.A. (eds.)].
Cooperative Report to the 2013 National Climate Assessment, pp. 150.
PDF
Evan, A. T., J. P. Kossin, C. E. Chung and V. Ramanathan, 2012: Reply to "How have tropical storms over the
Arabian Sea intensified?", Nature, 489, E1-E3.
PDF
Kozar, M. E., M. E. Mann, S. J. Camargo, J. P. Kossin,
and J. E. Evans, 2012:
Stratified statistical models of North Atlantic basin-wide and regional tropical cyclone counts.
J. Geophys. Res., 117, D18103, doi: 10.1029/2011JD017170.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., D. S. Nolan, J. P. Kossin, F. Zhang,
and J. Fang, 2012:
The roles of an expanding wind field and inertial stability in tropical cyclone secondary
eyewall formation. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 2621-2643.
PDF
Emanuel, K., F. Fondriest, and J. Kossin, 2012:
Potential economic value of seasonal hurricane forecasts. Weather, Climate, and Society,
4, 110-117.
PDF
Kossin, J. P., and M. Sitkowski, 2012:
Predicting hurricane intensity and structure changes associated with eyewall replacement cycles.
Wea. Forecasting, 27, 484-488.
PDF
Seneviratne, S. I., N. Nicholls, D. Easterling, C. M. Goodess, S. Kanae, J. Kossin, Y. Luo,
J. Marengo, K. McInnes, M. Rahimi, M. Reichstein, A. Sorteberg, C. Vera, and X. Zhang, 2012:
Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Managing
the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
[Field, C. B., V. Barros, T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, D. J. Dokken, K. L. Ebi, M. D. Mastrandrea,
K. J. Mach, G. -K. Plattner, S. K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P. M. Midgley (eds.)].
A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 109-230.
Full report available here.
Peduzzi, P., B. Chatenoux, H. Dao, A. De Bono, C. Herold, J. Kossin, F. Mouton, and O. Nordbeck, 2012:
Tropical cyclones: Global trends in human exposure, vulnerability and risk. Nature Climate Change,
2, 289-294.
PDF
2011
Sitkowski, M., J. P. Kossin, and C. M. Rozoff, 2011: Intensity
and structure changes during hurricane
eyewall replacement cycles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 3829-3847.
PDF
Evan, A., T., J. P. Kossin, C. Chung, and V. Ramanathan, 2011: Arabian Sea tropical cyclones intensified
by emissions of black carbon and other aerosols.
Nature, 479, 94-97.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., and J. P. Kossin, 2011: New probabilistic forecast models for the
prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 677-689.
PDF
Knapp, K. R., S. Ansari, C. L. Bain, M. A. Bourassa, M. J. Dickinson, C. Funk, C. N. Helms, C. C. Hennon,
C. D. Holmes, G. J. Huffman, J. P. Kossin, H.-T. Lee, A. Loew, and G. Magnusdottir, 2011: Globally gridded satellite (GridSat) observations for climate studies.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 893-907.
PDF
2010
Kossin, J. P., S. J. Camargo, and M. Sitkowski, 2010:
Climate modulation of North Atlantic hurricane tracks. J. Climate, 23, 3057-3076.
PDF
Knutson, T. R., J. L. McBride, J. Chan, K. Emanuel, G. Holland, C. Landsea, I. Held,
J. P. Kossin, A. K. Srivastava, and M. Sugi, 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nature Geoscience, 3, doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
PDF (Article),
PDF (Supplemental Material)
Levinson, D. H., K. R. Knapp, M. C. Kruk, Diamond, H. J., and J. P. Kossin, 2010:
The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) project: Overview of methods and Indian Ocean statistics.
Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, Y. Charabi (Ed.), Earth and Environmental Science Series, Springer, 373 pp.
PDF
2009
Kossin, J. P., and S. J. Camargo, 2009: Hurricane track variability and secular
potential intensity trends. Climatic Change, 97, 329-337, DOI:10.1007/s10584-009-9748-2.
PDF
Hendricks, E. A., W. H. Schubert, R. K. Taft, H. Wang, and J. P. Kossin, 2009:
Lifecycles of hurricane-like potential vorticity rings.
J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 705-722.
PDF
Evan, A. T., D. J. Vimont, A. K. Heidenger, J. P. Kossin,
and R. Bennartz, 2009: The role of aerosols in the evolution of
tropical North Atlantic Ocean temperature anomalies. Science, 324, 778-781.
PDF.
Link to abstract, paper, and supporting online material.
Kossin, J. P., and M. Sitkowski, 2009: An objective model for identifying secondary eyewall
formation in hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 876-892.
PDF
Limaye, S. S., J. P. Kossin, C. Rozoff, G. Piccione, D. V. Titov, and W. J. Markiewicz, 2009:
Vortex circulation on Venus:
Dynamical similarities with terrestrial hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04204, DOI:10.1029/2008GL036093.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., J. P. Kossin, W. H. Schubert, and P. J. Mulero, 2009:
Internal control of hurricane intensity: The dual nature of potential
vorticity mixing. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 133-147.
PDF
2008
Kossin, J. P., 2008: Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer? Geophys. Res. Lett., L23705,
DOI:10.1029/2008GL036012. Link
Elsner, J. B., J. P. Kossin, and T. H. Jagger, 2008: The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature, 455, 92-95.
PDF.
Link to abstract, paper, and supporting online material.
Bromirski, P. D., and J. P. Kossin, 2008: Increasing hurricane wave power along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts. J. Geophys.
Res., 113, C07012, DOI:10.1029/2007JC004706.
PDF
Rozoff, C. M., W. H. Schubert, and J. P. Kossin, 2008: Some dynamical aspects of tropical cyclone concentric eyewalls. Q. J. R.
Meteorol. Soc., 134, 583-593.
PDF
Evan, A. T., A. K. Heidinger, R. Bennartz, V. Bennington, N. M. Mahowald, H. Corrada-Bravo, C. S. Velden, G. Myhre, and J. P. Kossin,
2008: Ocean temperature forcing by aerosols across the Atlantic tropical cyclone development region. Geochem., Geophys., Geosyst.,
9, Q05V04, DOI:10.1029/2007GC001774.
PDF
Kunkel, K. E., P. D. Bromirski, H. E. Brooks, T. Cavazos, A. V. Douglas, D. R. Easterling, K. A. Emanuel, P. Ya. Groisman, G. J. Holland,
T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin, P. D. Komar, D. H. Levinson, R. L. Smith, 2008: Observed Changes in Weather and Climate Extremes in
Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands.
T. R. Karl, G. A. Meehl, C. D. Miller, S. J. Hassol, A. M. Waple, and W. L. Murray (eds.).
A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington, DC.
PDF
Knaff, J. A., T. A. Cram, A. B. Schumacher, J. P. Kossin, and M. DeMaria, 2008: Objective identification of annular hurricanes.
Wea. Forecasting, 23, 17-28.
PDF
Kossin, J. P., and M. Sitkowski, 2008: An objective model for identifying secondary
hurricane eyewalls. Papers of Note, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 1637-1638.
Kossin, J. P., 2008: A scientific tempest. Book review, American Scientist, 96, 78-80. PDF
2007
Kossin, J. P., and D. J. Vimont, 2007: A more general framework for understanding Atlantic hurricane variability and trends.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 1767-1781. Abstract
here. PDF article file
here
Vimont, D. J., and J. P. Kossin, 2007: The Atlantic meridional mode and hurricane activity. Geophys. Res. Lett.,
34, L07709, DOI:10.1029/2007GL029683.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., K. R. Knapp, D. J. Vimont, R. J. Murnane, and B. A. Harper, 2007: A globally
consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34,
L04815, DOI:10.1029/2006GL028836.
PDF
file
Schubert W. S., C. M. Rozoff, J. L. Vigh, B. D. McNoldy, and J. P. Kossin, 2007: On the
distribution of subsidence in the hurricane eye. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 595-605.
PDF
file
Knapp, K. R., and J. P. Kossin, 2007: A new global tropical cyclone data set from ISCCP B1
geostationary satellite observations. J. of App. Remote Sensing, 1, 013505, DOI:10.1117/12.731296.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., J. A. Knaff, H. I. Berger, D. C. Herndon, T. A. Cram, C. S. Velden, R. J.
Murnane, and J. D. Hawkins, 2007: Estimating hurricane wind structure in the absence of aircraft
reconnaissance. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 89-101.
PDF
file
2006
Mueller, K. J., M. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, J. P. Kossin, and T. H. VonderHaar, 2006:
Objective estimation of tropical cyclone wind structure from infrared satellite data.
Wea. Forecasting, 21, 990-1005.
PDF
file
Rozoff, C. M., W. H. Schubert, B. D. McNoldy, and J. P. Kossin,
2006: Rapid filamentation zones in intense tropical cyclones.
J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 325-340.
PDF
file
2004
Knievel, J. C., D. S. Nolan, and J. P. Kossin, 2004: An assessment of the balance
in a mesoscale vortex within a midlatitude, continental mesoscale convective system.
J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1827-1832.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., and W. H. Schubert, 2004: Mesovortices in Hurricane Isabel (2003).
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 151-153.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., and C. S. Velden, 2004: A pronounced bias in tropical cyclone
minimum sea-level pressure estimation based on the Dvorak technique. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
132, 165-173. PDF
file
2003
Knaff, J. A., J. P. Kossin, and M. DeMaria, 2003: Annular Hurricanes.
Wea. Forecasting, 18, 204-223.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., and W. H. Schubert, 2003: Diffusion versus advective
rearrangement of a circular vortex sheet. J. Atmos. Sci., 60,
586-589. PDF
file
2002
Kossin, J. P., B. D. McNoldy, and W. H. Schubert, 2002: Vortical
swirls in hurricane eye clouds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 3144-3149.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., 2002: Daily hurricane variability
inferred from GOES infrared imagery. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2260-2270.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., 2002: Oscillations of the Tropical Storm
Canopy. Papers of Note, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1295-1296.
Kossin, J. P., 2002: Oscillations of the Cirrus Canopy. Conference Papers of Note,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 361-362.
2001
Prieto, R., J. P. Kossin, and W. H. Schubert, 2001: Symmetrization
of lopsided vorticity monopoles and offset hurricane eyes.
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 127, 2307-2328.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., and W. H. Schubert, 2001: Mesovortices, polygonal
flow patterns, and rapid pressure falls in hurricane-like vortices.
J.
Atmos. Sci., 58, 2196-2209.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., and M. D. Eastin, 2001: Two distinct regimes in
the kinematic and thermodynamic structure of the hurricane eye and eyewall.
J. Atmos. Sci.,58, 1079-1090.
PDF
file
2000 and earlier
Kossin, J. P., W. H. Schubert, and M. T. Montgomery, 2000: Unstable
interactions between a hurricane's primary eyewall and a secondary ring
of enhanced vorticity. J. Atmos. Sci.,57, 3893-3917.
PDF file
Kossin, J. P., 2000: Barotropic instability and asymmetric mixing in
hurricanes with primary and secondary eyewalls. Ph.D. Dissertation,
Colorado State University.
PDF
file
Schubert, W. H., M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Taft, T. A. Guinn, S. R. Fulton,
J. P. Kossin, and J. P. Edwards, 1999: Polygonal eyewalls, asymmetric
eye contraction, and potential vorticity mixing in hurricanes. J. Atmos.
Sci., 56, 1197-1223. PDF
file
Saridakis, Y. G., and J. P. Kossin, 1990: On exact
convergence of the accelerated overrelaxation method when applied to
consistently ordered systems. Int. Journal of
Comp. Mathematics, 33, 251-261.
PDF
file
Kossin, J. P., 1987: On exact convergence of the accelerated overrelaxation
method when applied to consistently ordered systems. M.S. Thesis,
Clarkson University.